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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 19, 2015·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Buffalo Sabres 2, St. Louis Blues 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 73% of the time.

STL winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gionta–Moulson–O'ReillyKane–Reinhart–EichelEnnis–Foligno–LarssonLegwand–McGinn–DeslauriersMcGinn–O'Reilly–ReinhartGorges–RistolainenBogosian–McCabeColaiacovo–FransonColaiacovo–RistolainenGorges–Bogosian
Steen–Lehtera–Tarasenko4:430.05–0.120:520.00–0.282:190.10–0.034:030.05–0.293:010.13–0.061:110.00–0.080:410.05–0.00
Gomez–Brouwer–Fabbri1:370.08–0.002:180.01–0.031:190.08–0.001:080.06–0.002:390.08–0.022:540.02–0.09
Ott–Brodziak–Welsh1:100.03–0.001:050.03–0.030:550.03–0.072:010.07–0.021:590.11–0.072:010.00–0.021:380.03–0.050:380.03–0.00
Steen–Backes–Tarasenko2:560.00–0.160:350.00–0.002:320.02–0.021:240.00–0.140:460.00–0.02
Lehtera–Paajarvi–Jaskin1:340.03–0.001:350.00–0.002:030.00–0.001:110.03–0.00
Backes–Brouwer–Paajarvi2:060.03–0.000:510.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:510.03–0.000:550.00–0.00
Backes–Paajarvi–Jaskin1:440.00–0.111:340.00–0.110:590.00–0.090:380.00–0.00
Gomez–Jaskin–Fabbri1:550.31–0.030:500.16–0.061:390.47–0.070:530.00–0.02
Backes–Jaskin–Fabbri1:170.08–0.09
Bouwmeester–Pietrangelo6:280.12–0.273:570.12–0.251:470.13–0.000:430.00–0.004:340.08–0.346:120.20–0.142:470.00–0.000:430.00–0.05
Gunnarsson–Bortuzzo2:000.03–0.012:050.00–0.064:230.04–0.061:470.08–0.005:140.08–0.053:330.08–0.071:560.00–0.090:520.03–0.00
Shattenkirk–Edmundson1:280.00–0.022:130.04–0.052:270.03–0.071:180.02–0.022:260.03–0.072:420.00–0.023:520.06–0.09
Shattenkirk–Gunnarsson1:350.00–0.082:340.42–0.091:590.04–0.090:420.31–0.001:280.08–0.08
Shattenkirk–Pietrangelo0:360.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSteen FBackes FTarasenko FLehtera FJaskin FPaajarvi FGomez FFabbri FBrouwer FBrodziak FWelsh FOtt FBouwmeester DPietrangelo DGunnarsson DBortuzzo DShattenkirk DEdmundson DAllen GGionta FMoulson FO'Reilly FKane FEichel FReinhart FLarsson FEnnis FFoligno FLegwand FDeslauriers FMcGinn FMcCabe DBogosian DGorges DRistolainen DFranson DColaiacovo DUllmark G
STLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex PietrangeloSTL2827:370:591:4025
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3026:510:541:5833
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2925:060:522:3055
Alexander SteenSTL3224:490:471:5765
Jay BouwmeesterSTL2924:450:511:3125
Zach BogosianBUF2923:430:491:4942
Josh GorgesBUF2822:570:491:4935
Jack EichelBUF2222:111:011:4232
Kevin ShattenkirkSTL2621:450:501:3953
Brian GiontaBUF2621:120:491:4144
Evander KaneBUF2520:550:501:3711
David BackesSTL2720:380:461:2735
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2820:260:441:3162
Carl GunnarssonSTL2620:260:471:3122
Jori LehteraSTL2818:560:411:1633
Jake McCabeBUF2418:320:461:0942
Troy BrouwerSTL2217:060:471:1432
Tyler EnnisBUF1917:030:541:5250
Sam ReinhartBUF1816:260:551:3722
Cody FransonBUF2215:590:441:3740
Scott GomezSTL2015:340:471:1430
Matt MoulsonBUF2215:270:421:2054
Robby FabbriSTL2015:070:451:1440
Johan LarssonBUF1714:590:531:1330
Robert BortuzzoSTL1914:540:471:2002
Dmitrij JaskinSTL1713:390:481:1812
Marcus FolignoBUF1613:320:511:2830
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF1713:000:461:2420
Joel EdmundsonSTL1812:560:431:1811
Magnus PaajarviSTL1711:590:421:0415
Steve OttSTL149:090:391:2103
Kyle BrodziakSTL129:040:451:2102
Jeremy WelshSTL118:100:451:1002
David LegwandBUF158:060:321:0203
Jamie McGinnBUF127:150:361:0211
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF115:440:310:5511