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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 25, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 3, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 54% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ribeiro–Neal–ForsbergHodgson–Bourque–JarnkrokFisher–Wilson–SmithGaustad–Nystrom–WatsonRibeiro–Wilson–SmithNystrom–Jarnkrok–WatsonFisher–Neal–ForsbergHodgson–Jarnkrok–ForsbergRibeiro–Nystrom–WatsonRibeiro–Smith–ForsbergFisher–Hodgson–BourqueWeber–JosiEllis–EkholmJackman–JonesJosi–Ekholm
Gionta–O'Reilly–Kane2:050.18–0.001:520.05–0.001:540.00–0.032:390.00–0.001:260.00–0.120:440.00–0.0010:400.32–0.121:050.00–0.032:230.04–0.00
Legwand–Foligno–Deslauriers1:330.01–0.000:340.00–0.001:210.16–0.000:520.01–0.001:390.16–0.001:190.00–0.00
Foligno–Deslauriers–Girgensons0:350.00–0.000:590.14–0.000:320.02–0.000:370.00–0.000:400.02–0.002:450.14–0.07
Moulson–McGinn–Girgensons1:200.00–0.021:030.04–0.110:530.06–0.000:470.03–0.000:330.06–0.002:230.01–0.13
Larsson–Reinhart–Eichel0:410.00–0.001:290.00–0.970:360.00–0.000:570.00–0.002:190.00–0.97
Moulson–Reinhart–Eichel0:350.00–0.000:520.02–0.000:510.00–0.092:040.02–0.00
Foligno–Reinhart–Eichel0:520.05–0.000:370.00–0.041:180.05–0.000:400.00–0.04
Moulson–Foligno–Girgensons0:460.02–0.000:370.00–0.00
Kane–Foligno–Girgensons0:410.00–0.000:580.00–0.00
Gorges–Ristolainen5:190.15–0.061:020.02–0.002:120.00–0.030:400.03–0.020:520.00–0.090:510.04–0.006:180.20–0.061:500.03–0.034:210.06–0.15
Colaiacovo–Bogosian0:400.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:350.00–0.091:200.00–0.000:540.00–0.120:550.02–0.000:390.00–0.002:340.00–0.123:040.02–0.002:580.00–0.12
Bogosian–McCabe0:570.00–0.041:150.04–0.191:560.04–0.991:260.08–0.002:130.20–0.003:420.13–1.200:480.01–0.02
Colaiacovo–Franson2:140.01–0.002:550.00–0.000:470.13–0.002:440.05–0.002:530.13–0.001:300.00–0.00
Franson–McCabe1:010.03–0.060:550.00–0.000:370.14–0.000:430.00–0.000:350.02–0.002:180.02–0.060:580.05–0.002:320.15–0.030:340.03–0.00
Bogosian–Ristolainen0:380.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Gorges–Bogosian
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLegwand FDeslauriers FFoligno FGionta FO'Reilly FKane FMoulson FGirgensons FMcGinn FEichel FLarsson FReinhart FColaiacovo DFranson DGorges DRistolainen DMcCabe DBogosian DUllmark GJohnson GFisher FSmith FWilson FHodgson FJarnkrok FBourque FNystrom FGaustad FWatson FForsberg FNeal FRibeiro FWeber DJosi DJones DJackman DEllis DEkholm DHutton G
BUFNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3026:240:531:5335
Evander KaneBUF2324:341:042:0742
Shea WeberNSH3024:310:491:5336
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2423:541:001:5153
Brian GiontaBUF2322:160:581:5644
Zach BogosianBUF2621:450:502:3052
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3021:330:431:2173
Josh GorgesBUF2718:530:421:1844
Mike RibeiroNSH1818:521:032:4212
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF2418:490:471:3052
Seth JonesNSH2518:380:451:4912
Filip ForsbergNSH2118:240:531:2535
Mattias EkholmNSH2118:140:521:2505
James NealNSH1917:400:561:5342
Jake McCabeBUF2417:380:441:3820
Jack EichelBUF2217:060:471:1960
Mike FisherNSH2717:000:381:0334
Ryan EllisNSH2216:570:461:2506
Cody FransonBUF2716:500:371:2050
Marcus FolignoBUF2216:140:441:2031
Eric NystromNSH2015:560:481:1326
Calle JarnkrokNSH2415:350:391:1926
Barret JackmanNSH2215:270:421:3912
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1914:410:461:2921
Craig SmithNSH2113:590:401:2713
Colin WilsonNSH2213:500:381:2723
Sam ReinhartBUF1913:440:431:2370
Gabriel BourqueNSH1913:290:431:1502
Austin WatsonNSH1712:290:441:5016
Matt MoulsonBUF1611:380:441:0740
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1811:250:381:2021
Cody HodgsonNSH1510:180:411:1912
David LegwandBUF169:540:371:0512
Paul GaustadNSH138:270:391:2016
Jamie McGinnBUF117:580:431:0710
Johan LarssonBUF106:370:400:5940