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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 28, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Buffalo Sabres 4, Nashville Predators 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.

NSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:08Smith: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Smith · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  4. P1 1:18Shot by Kane, saved by Saros4v5
  5. P1 1:38Shot by Gionta, saved by Saros4v5
  6. P1 1:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Saros4v5
  7. P1 3:08Shot by Ellis, saved by Johnson4v5
  8. P1 3:41Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 3:47Shot by Jones, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 5:24Shot by Watson, saved by Johnson
  11. P1 6:51Shot by Gionta, saved by Saros
  12. P1 9:44Shot by McGinn, saved by Saros
  13. P1 10:16Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 11:38Reinhart: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Smith · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  15. P1 11:42Goal by Fisher (Neal)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · BUF Legwand, Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen

  16. P1 12:11Shot by Jackman, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 13:03Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Johnson
  18. P1 14:55Shot by Jones, saved by Johnson
  19. P1 15:43Shot by Neal, saved by Johnson
  20. P1 16:53Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Johnson
  21. P1 17:06Shot by Reinhart, saved by Saros
  22. P1 17:01Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  23. P1 17:46Shot by McGinn, saved by Saros
  24. P1 18:40Shot by Jackman, saved by Johnson
  25. P1 19:50Shot by Josi, saved by Johnson
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:40Shot by Reinhart, saved by Saros
  29. P2 1:17Shot by McCabe, saved by Saros
  30. P2 2:59Shot by Franson, saved by Saros
  31. P2 3:05Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 3:30Shot by Franson, saved by Saros
  33. P2 5:39Shot by Eichel, saved by Saros
  34. P2 5:42Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Saros
  35. P2 6:37Shot by Hodgson, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 9:03Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Saros
  37. P2 9:09Girgensons: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Nystrom, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons · BUF Colaiacovo, McGinn, Bogosian, Deslauriers, Girgensons

  38. P2 10:10Shot by Fisher, saved by Johnson5v4
  39. P2 10:12Shot by Neal, saved by Johnson5v4
  40. P2 11:32Shot by Hodgson, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 11:40Shot by Weber, saved by Johnson
  42. P2 11:43Arvidsson: Cross checking (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Hodgson, Josi, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Bogosian, Foligno, Eichel

  43. P2 11:43Arvidsson: Game misconduct (10 min)3v5

    On ice: NSH Weber, Hodgson, Josi, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Bogosian, Foligno, Eichel

  44. P2 13:09Goal by McGinn (O'Reilly, Franson)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Jackman, Nystrom, Jones · BUF Gionta, Franson, McGinn, O'Reilly, Kane

  45. P2 16:13Goal by Reinhart (Moulson, Legwand)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg, Sissons · BUF Legwand, Moulson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  46. P2 13:06Shot by McGinn, saved by Saros4v5
  47. P2 18:40Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Johnson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:10Shot by Wilson, saved by Johnson
  51. P3 0:24Shot by Fisher, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 0:58Goal by Reinhart (McCabe, Kane)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Smith · BUF Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  53. P3 1:33Shot by Ekholm, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 4:24Shot by Jackman, saved by Johnson
  55. P3 8:31Shot by Wilson, saved by Johnson
  56. P3 9:50Shot by Hodgson, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 10:49Franson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg · BUF Franson, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart

  58. P3 12:18Shot by Gionta, saved by Saros5v4
  59. P3 13:06Shot by Schaller, saved by Saros
  60. P3 15:38Shot by Josi, saved by Johnson
  61. P3 15:46Shot by Reinhart, saved by Saros
  62. P3 16:25Shot by Neal, saved by Johnson6v5
  63. P3 16:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johnson6v5
  64. P3 17:47Goal by O'Reilly (Kane)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · BUF McGinn, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final