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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 28, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Buffalo Sabres 4, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.

NSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

O'Reilly–Kane–ReinhartGionta–Moulson–EichelMcGinn–Deslauriers–GirgensonsFoligno–Deslauriers–GirgensonsLegwand–McGinn–SchallerLegwand–Foligno–SchallerFoligno–Deslauriers–SchallerGorges–RistolainenFranson–McCabeColaiacovo–BogosianBogosian–McCabeFranson–BogosianMcCabe–RistolainenGorges–BogosianBogosian–Ristolainen
Ribeiro–Neal–Forsberg1:570.00–0.003:280.06–0.092:020.00–0.000:300.03–0.000:410.00–0.006:240.13–0.051:350.00–0.021:090.03–0.080:420.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Fisher–Wilson–Smith5:480.04–0.080:590.00–0.002:150.01–0.072:290.00–0.031:280.00–0.060:450.01–0.211:190.02–0.02
Hodgson–Jarnkrok–Arvidsson1:110.00–0.021:520.02–0.002:100.10–0.000:510.00–0.000:560.00–0.001:300.00–0.004:010.05–0.021:040.07–0.000:400.02–0.00
Nystrom–Watson–Sissons1:380.02–0.000:320.00–0.010:490.00–0.001:060.00–0.001:220.03–0.002:210.02–0.00
Wilson–Smith–Jarnkrok0:300.00–0.00
Fisher–Nystrom–Smith
Weber–Josi8:570.06–0.112:560.02–0.000:370.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:520.02–0.003:080.03–0.144:130.00–0.032:360.09–0.062:340.02–0.221:010.02–0.001:060.02–0.001:110.02–0.00
Ellis–Ekholm2:440.03–0.004:130.06–0.111:410.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:300.00–0.005:400.07–0.011:560.03–0.023:270.07–0.081:030.00–0.000:460.00–0.010:460.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Jackman–Jones0:370.00–0.002:440.00–0.002:510.10–0.001:040.03–0.040:510.00–0.005:240.07–0.043:100.05–0.020:580.00–0.001:000.00–0.02
Ellis–Jones
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FNeal FRibeiro FSmith FWilson FFisher FJarnkrok FNystrom FWatson FSissons FArvidsson FHodgson FJones DJackman DWeber DJosi DEkholm DEllis DSaros GLegwand FDeslauriers FFoligno FKane FReinhart FO'Reilly FGionta FMcGinn FEichel FMoulson FGirgensons FSchaller FMcCabe DFranson DGorges DRistolainen DBogosian DColaiacovo DJohnson G
NSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3527:360:471:39410
Roman JosiNSH2925:360:531:5972
Shea WeberNSH2924:380:511:5962
Josh GorgesBUF3022:550:462:0219
Filip ForsbergNSH2722:240:502:1792
Evander KaneBUF2422:020:551:2634
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2621:350:501:3336
Ryan EllisNSH2320:220:531:4741
Sam ReinhartBUF2419:490:501:4223
Mike FisherNSH2619:090:441:5972
Zach BogosianBUF2519:030:461:3424
James NealNSH2218:460:512:5791
Mike RibeiroNSH2018:420:562:1770
Mattias EkholmNSH2218:420:511:4751
Cody FransonBUF2518:200:441:3434
Brian GiontaBUF2018:070:541:5613
Seth JonesNSH2217:430:481:4551
Jake McCabeBUF2617:400:411:3325
Calle JarnkrokNSH2116:250:471:4044
Jamie McGinnBUF2016:180:491:2653
Craig SmithNSH2315:510:411:1771
Jack EichelBUF1715:080:531:2503
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2014:560:451:1225
Colin WilsonNSH2214:430:401:1971
Cody HodgsonNSH1713:590:491:2924
Barret JackmanNSH1712:590:461:2640
Matt MoulsonBUF1512:450:511:2502
Eric NystromNSH1611:120:421:2002
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1411:000:471:1223
David LegwandBUF1610:480:411:0732
Tim SchallerBUF1510:180:411:0330
Marcus FolignoBUF139:200:431:0411
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF138:160:381:2523
Colton SissonsNSH138:100:381:0901
Viktor ArvidssonNSH98:090:541:2913
Austin WatsonNSH117:290:411:0901