Sat, Nov 28, 2015·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Dallas Stars 4, Minnesota Wild 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 65% of the time.
25%
9%
10%
56%
MIN winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26:01 | 0.11 | 37.0% | +86.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 23:20 | 0.38 | 46.3% | +59.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:21 | 0.12 | 53.8% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.06 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.32 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 20:51 | 0.41 | 51.9% | +86.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:31 | 0.18 | 63.5% | +49.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:59 | 0.31 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.06 | 75.2% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.02 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:06 | 0.16 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:02 | 0.14 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.20 | 70.3% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 11:04 | 0.13 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:14 | 0.08 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 1.86 | −1.1 | 63:46 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32:19 | 0.18 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:40 | 0.02 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:58 | 0.14 | 46.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.26 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:24 | 0.54 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.10 | 27.3% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.05 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.07 | 33.0% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.02 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.12 | 55.3% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.01 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 34.3% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:55 | 0.26 | 54.1% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.04 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.04 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:42 | 0.00 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:12 | 0.00 | 20.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 44 | 40 | 4 | .909 | 2.66 | −1.3 | 63:57 |