Tue, Dec 8, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
New Jersey Devils 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 88% of the time.
84%
TOR winsNJD wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gionta–Farnham–Kalinin | Elias–Kennedy–Palmieri | Tootoo–Josefson–O'Neill | Cammalleri–Stempniak–Henrique | Cammalleri–Stempniak–Josefson | Elias–Cammalleri–Palmieri | Cammalleri–Palmieri–Josefson | Elias–Cammalleri–Stempniak | Tootoo–Gionta–Farnham | Kennedy–Gionta–Farnham | Gionta–O'Neill–Kalinin | Moore–Severson | Greene–Larsson | Schlemko–Merrill | Greene–Severson | Merrill–Severson | Schlemko–Severson | Greene–Merrill | Moore–Larsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Komarov–Kadri–Holland | 1:230.08–0.01 | 2:380.02–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.01 | 2:590.05–0.03 | 4:420.11–0.06 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 1:420.05–0.03 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Parenteau–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | 0:310.00–0.02 | 0:530.49–0.00 | 1:560.02–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.04 | 3:550.03–0.15 | 1:310.03–0.02 | 2:200.52–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Winnik–Grabner–Spaling | 2:070.04–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:240.02–0.08 | 3:100.04–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Boyes–Matthias–Froese | 2:290.03–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:420.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:390.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gardiner | 1:260.08–0.00 | 2:190.51–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.03 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:490.05–0.08 | 3:020.10–0.00 | 3:550.53–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Hunwick–Rielly | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:050.04–0.03 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.05 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 2:350.00–0.16 | 3:400.04–0.06 | 1:460.00–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Polak–Marincin | 2:190.03–0.03 | 2:030.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.04 | 2:540.03–0.03 | 1:440.01–0.00 | 2:170.01–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||
| Polak–Hunwick | 1:260.00–0.02 | 1:000.03–0.03 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Polak–Rielly | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Hunwick | 0:310.01–0.05 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Rielly | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matt HunwickTOR | 35 | 25:19 | 0:43 | 1:45 | 3 | 8 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 35 | 23:40 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 5 | 3 |
 Andy GreeneNJD | 31 | 23:29 | 0:45 | 1:56 | 4 | 7 |
 John MooreNJD | 30 | 22:57 | 0:46 | 1:58 | 5 | 3 |
 Michael CammalleriNJD | 26 | 22:41 | 0:52 | 2:26 | 7 | 1 |
 Lee StempniakNJD | 28 | 21:29 | 0:46 | 2:01 | 5 | 7 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 26 | 21:15 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 5 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 26 | 21:15 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 4 | 3 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 25 | 21:08 | 0:51 | 2:16 | 1 | 6 |
 Adam LarssonNJD | 29 | 20:48 | 0:43 | 1:52 | 3 | 10 |
 Patrik EliasNJD | 25 | 19:48 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 9 | 2 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 25 | 19:40 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 31 | 19:22 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Damon SeversonNJD | 25 | 18:39 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 26 | 18:19 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 8 | 4 |
 Jacob JosefsonNJD | 28 | 17:47 | 0:38 | 1:21 | 5 | 5 |
 PA ParenteauTOR | 25 | 17:33 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 8 | 3 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 25 | 17:23 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 8 | 3 |
 David SchlemkoNJD | 24 | 17:23 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 4 | 0 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 27 | 17:18 | 0:38 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Stephen GiontaNJD | 25 | 16:49 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler KennedyNJD | 21 | 16:12 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 7 | 2 |
 Jon MerrillNJD | 20 | 16:05 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 2 | 1 |
 Kyle PalmieriNJD | 21 | 15:30 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 6 | 0 |
 Michael GrabnerTOR | 24 | 15:12 | 0:38 | 2:06 | 0 | 6 |
 Nick SpalingTOR | 23 | 14:49 | 0:39 | 1:56 | 1 | 3 |
 Byron FroeseTOR | 25 | 14:11 | 0:34 | 1:21 | 2 | 7 |
 Jordin TootooNJD | 18 | 13:20 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Sergey KalininNJD | 16 | 12:00 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 2 | 0 |
 Brian O'NeillNJD | 18 | 11:43 | 0:39 | 1:39 | 3 | 3 |
 Brad BoyesTOR | 16 | 10:53 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 4 | 2 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 18 | 10:52 | 0:36 | 1:00 | 2 | 4 |
 Adam HenriqueNJD | 16 | 10:16 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 4 | 4 |
 Daniel WinnikTOR | 19 | 10:09 | 0:32 | 0:51 | 0 | 0 |
 Bobby FarnhamNJD | 16 | 9:47 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Shawn MatthiasTOR | 14 | 8:18 | 0:36 | 1:00 | 0 | 2 |