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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 12, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 54% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 0:28Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 1:02Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 1:44Shot by Holden, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 2:33Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 2:50Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 3:36Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 3:45Soderberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Neal, Jarnkrok, Forsberg, Jones · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Barrie, Martinsen

  10. P1 4:01Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov5v4
  11. P1 5:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne5v4
  12. P1 5:44Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov5v4
  13. P1 6:11Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 7:22Gaustad: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Gaustad, Nystrom, Salomaki, Jones · COL Guenin, Comeau, Soderberg, Gormley, Martinsen

  15. P1 7:47Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne4v5
  16. P1 7:56Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne4v5
  17. P1 8:37Goal by Beauchemin (MacKinnon, Duchene)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Nystrom, Watson, Jones · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Duchene, MacKinnon

  18. P1 8:49Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 12:24Shot by Gormley, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 12:30Shot by Guenin, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 12:33Gaustad: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Salomaki · COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  22. P1 14:38Goal by Holden (Tanguay, Mitchell)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Jackman, Gaustad, Forsberg, Jones · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Holden

  23. P1 14:46Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 15:09Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 16:29Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 17:17Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 17:24Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  28. P1 17:54Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  29. P1 19:52Goal by Salomaki (Ellis, Sissons)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Nystrom, Ellis, Ekholm, Salomaki, Sissons · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Holden, Wagner

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:15Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 3:13Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 3:20Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 3:44Ribeiro: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Forsberg · COL Beauchemin, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  36. P2 6:14Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 7:51Shot by Sissons, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 7:52Barrie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Hodgson, Watson, Sissons, Jones · COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie, Wagner

  39. P2 7:52Hodgson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Hodgson, Watson, Sissons, Jones · COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie, Wagner

  40. P2 10:46Duchene: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Salomaki · COL Guenin, Duchene, Gormley, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  41. P2 10:54Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov5v4
  42. P2 11:32Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov5v4
  43. P2 11:25Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov5v4
  44. P2 12:43Shot by Jones, saved by Varlamov5v4
  45. P2 14:21Iginla: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Forsberg · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Mitchell, Holden, Barrie

  46. P2 17:08McLeod: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Nystrom, Ellis, Ekholm, Salomaki, Sissons · COL Guenin, McLeod, Skille, Gormley, Wagner

  47. P2 19:31Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 19:39Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:28Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 0:48Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 0:58Goal by Smith (Ellis, Ekholm)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Arvidsson · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Mitchell, Holden, Barrie

  54. P3 2:07Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 5:03Shot by Jackman, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 5:21Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 5:30Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 5:48Shot by Salomaki, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 5:55Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 5:59Watson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hodgson, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Johnson

  61. P3 7:51Shot by Tanguay, saved by Rinne4v5
  62. P3 8:00Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 9:34Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 9:35Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 9:36Goal by Martinsen (Soderberg, Beauchemin)+33 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Martinsen

  66. P3 11:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 12:00Martinsen: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Jackman, Smith, Jones, Arvidsson · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Barrie, Martinsen

  68. P3 12:42Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov5v4
  69. P3 13:47Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov5v4
  70. P3 13:52Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov5v4
  71. P3 14:01Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 14:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 15:23Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 16:06Ribeiro: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Arvidsson · COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie, Wagner

  75. P3 17:32Shot by Nystrom, saved by Varlamov4v5
  76. P3 18:40Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov6v5
  77. P3 18:55Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov6v5
  78. P3 19:00Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov6v5
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final