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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 12, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 54% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Duchene–Grigorenko–MacKinnonComeau–Soderberg–MartinsenIginla–Tanguay–MitchellMcLeod–Skille–WagnerBeauchemin–JohnsonHolden–BarrieGuenin–GormleyBeauchemin–HoldenBeauchemin–BarrieGuenin–Holden
Neal–Jarnkrok–Forsberg5:230.03–0.183:150.04–0.101:130.05–0.006:280.09–0.213:300.00–0.040:310.00–0.030:430.10–0.00
Ribeiro–Smith–Arvidsson0:560.01–0.003:320.12–0.052:010.15–0.000:370.00–0.002:490.13–0.053:570.13–0.000:480.03–0.00
Gaustad–Nystrom–Salomaki3:230.15–0.110:330.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:450.00–0.001:170.02–0.001:490.01–0.052:470.00–0.06
Hodgson–Watson–Sissons0:300.00–0.001:200.00–0.031:100.00–0.002:050.29–0.000:450.01–0.001:180.14–0.033:380.15–0.03
Ellis–Ekholm1:310.01–0.003:080.00–0.664:050.16–0.002:420.06–0.004:410.06–0.664:240.12–0.033:010.06–0.000:430.15–0.000:310.00–0.00
Weber–Josi9:140.22–0.291:000.00–0.004:410.02–0.183:310.02–0.051:510.03–0.060:560.04–0.03
Jackman–Jones5:440.18–0.130:350.03–0.092:220.23–0.002:350.18–0.063:200.14–0.042:270.09–0.030:420.03–0.09
Weber–Ekholm0:480.10–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FNeal FJarnkrok FSmith FArvidsson FRibeiro FHodgson FWatson FSissons FSalomaki FNystrom FGaustad FWeber DJosi DEllis DEkholm DJones DJackman DRinne GDuchene FGrigorenko FMacKinnon FMitchell FIginla FTanguay FComeau FMartinsen FSoderberg FSkille FMcLeod FWagner FJohnson DBeauchemin DHolden DBarrie DGuenin DGormley DVarlamov G
NSHCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Francois BeaucheminCOL3629:000:481:48014
Erik JohnsonCOL3527:440:481:51412
Shea WeberNSH2826:090:562:3144
Roman JosiNSH2925:480:532:2154
Filip ForsbergNSH2923:480:491:50124
Nick HoldenCOL3122:440:441:3936
Calle JarnkrokNSH2922:100:461:48114
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2721:130:471:2373
James NealNSH2221:090:581:50100
Ryan EllisNSH2721:080:471:4564
Blake ComeauCOL2620:250:471:5849
Matt DucheneCOL2620:160:471:2263
Tyson BarrieCOL2819:420:421:2644
Mattias EkholmNSH2718:510:421:1654
Carl SoderbergCOL2418:290:461:15110
Seth JonesNSH2117:350:502:2983
Alex TanguayCOL2816:280:351:08210
Mike RibeiroNSH2216:230:451:5180
Mikhail GrigorenkoCOL2214:590:411:2323
Viktor ArvidssonNSH1913:520:441:3570
Craig SmithNSH1913:270:421:3580
John MitchellCOL2413:240:341:1419
Nate GueninCOL1812:020:401:5631
Jarome IginlaCOL1911:180:361:5625
Colton SissonsNSH1811:080:371:2424
Andreas MartinsenCOL1510:540:441:1408
Miikka SalomakiNSH1710:430:381:0616
Paul GaustadNSH1910:410:341:0026
Barret JackmanNSH1510:290:421:2963
Eric NystromNSH1610:270:391:2414
Brandon GormleyCOL148:550:381:1630
Austin WatsonNSH158:250:341:1123
Cody McLeodCOL138:040:371:0831
Cody HodgsonNSH168:030:301:1123
Jack SkilleCOL116:230:351:0030
Chris WagnerCOL116:000:331:0830