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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 16, 2015·Verizon Center, Washington

Ottawa Senators 1, Washington Capitals 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 63% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Turris–Smith–StoneRyan–Hoffman–ZibanejadChiasson–Dziurzynski–PageauNeil–Dziurzynski–LazarHoffman–Stone–ZibanejadMethot–KarlssonWiercioch–CeciCowen–WidemanKarlsson–WierciochKarlsson–WidemanMethot–CeciCowen–Ceci
Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom1:590.08–0.036:170.26–0.091:560.19–0.004:240.10–0.034:530.24–0.092:150.18–0.00
Williams–Johansson–Kuznetsov2:070.05–0.050:510.00–0.004:570.01–0.081:050.00–0.150:320.15–0.003:340.05–0.052:210.17–0.033:020.01–0.200:460.17–0.00
Chimera–Beagle–Wilson7:110.37–0.170:560.06–0.000:450.07–0.014:520.01–0.170:560.00–0.011:080.09–0.000:440.36–0.001:110.00–0.00
Laich–Latta–Burakovsky1:060.03–0.000:300.03–0.030:580.00–0.001:470.05–0.000:330.00–0.00
Ovechkin–Beagle–Wilson0:410.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Carlson–Schmidt8:470.05–0.192:400.06–0.061:370.05–0.086:190.05–0.152:550.00–0.001:350.06–0.051:420.02–0.060:560.00–0.000:470.09–0.03
Niskanen–Alzner4:160.41–0.096:170.27–0.091:140.00–0.006:090.05–0.093:570.19–0.091:460.18–0.000:460.36–0.00
Chorney–Orlov0:390.07–0.000:320.00–0.005:160.19–0.032:030.00–0.150:450.15–0.001:000.06–0.012:220.22–0.034:140.05–0.150:470.15–0.000:330.00–0.00
Niskanen–Orlov
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndChimera FWilson FBeagle FOshie FOvechkin FBackstrom FKuznetsov FWilliams FJohansson FLaich FLatta FBurakovsky FCarlson DSchmidt DNiskanen DAlzner DChorney DOrlov DHoltby GTurris FSmith FStone FRyan FHoffman FZibanejad FPageau FDziurzynski FChiasson FNeil FLazar FMethot DKarlsson DCeci DWiercioch DCowen DWideman DBorowiecki DHammond G
WSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2931:301:052:37114
Kyle TurrisOTT2324:341:042:3734
Mark StoneOTT2424:301:012:3762
Matt NiskanenWSH2723:530:531:5026
Karl AlznerWSH2722:140:491:5016
John CarlsonWSH2621:200:491:2914
Marc MethotOTT2521:070:511:3354
Mike HoffmanOTT2220:110:552:1851
Nate SchmidtWSH2520:100:481:3304
Bobby RyanOTT2219:530:542:3760
Zack SmithOTT2119:460:561:5153
Alex OvechkinWSH1919:151:011:2423
Nicklas BackstromWSH2219:060:521:5044
Patrick WierciochOTT2218:290:501:3922
T.J. OshieWSH2218:230:501:2444
Justin WilliamsWSH1916:520:531:2643
Mika ZibanejadOTT2116:480:481:1762
Jay BeagleWSH2316:460:441:1306
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1716:460:591:4143
Cody CeciOTT2316:350:431:2312
Dmitry OrlovWSH2116:210:471:2641
Marcus JohanssonWSH1515:301:021:4123
Taylor ChorneyWSH1914:460:471:1832
Tom WilsonWSH2013:390:411:1003
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT1813:280:451:1122
Dave DziurzynskiOTT1613:070:491:2022
Jason ChimeraWSH2012:430:381:0713
Chris WidemanOTT1512:300:501:2332
Alex ChiassonOTT1812:180:411:0122
Jared CowenOTT1611:080:421:1623
Brooks LaichWSH1710:190:361:0324
Curtis LazarOTT118:200:451:3610
Chris NeilOTT128:050:401:1610
Andre BurakovskyWSH127:330:381:0311
Michael LattaWSH117:290:411:0921
Mark BorowieckiOTT116:440:371:0811