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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 17, 2015·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

New York Rangers 2, Minnesota Wild 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 81% of the time.

MIN winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Yandle, saved by Dubnykother
  3. P1 4:43Shot by Suter, saved by Raanta
  4. P1 8:27Goal by Koivu (Vanek, Parise)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Vanek, Scandella, Zucker, Dumba · NYR Staal, Stalberg, McDonagh, Lindberg, Hayes

  5. P1 8:48Shot by Vanek, saved by Raanta
  6. P1 8:52McIlrath: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Stoll, Porter, Carter, Prosser, Brodin · NYR Moore, Glass, Yandle, Etem, McIlrath

  7. P1 13:20Shot by Glass, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 13:46Shot by Scandella, saved by Raanta
  9. P1 13:54Shot by Suter, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 14:24Shot by Fast, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 15:13Shot by Hayes, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 17:42Shot by Miller, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 0:00Period end
  14. P2 0:00Period start
  15. P2 0:24Shot by Pominville, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P2 2:48Shot by Fontaine, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P2 2:51Shot by Coyle, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P2 3:08Shot by Etem, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P2 3:50Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P2 3:57Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P2 4:52Shot by Moore, saved by Dubnyk
  22. P2 5:05Shot by Granlund, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 5:29Shot by Kreider, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P2 7:10Shot by Boyle, saved by Dubnyk
  25. P2 7:36Shot by Fontaine, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 9:31Shot by Fontaine, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 9:55Shot by Scandella, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 10:00Shot by Koivu, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 10:34Stoll: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Stoll, Vanek, Scandella, Prosser, Zucker · NYR McDonagh, Lindberg, Hayes, Etem, Skjei

  30. P2 10:52Shot by Carter, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  31. P2 10:59Shot by Nash, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  32. P2 12:03Shot by Hayes, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  33. P2 13:11Shot by Moore, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 13:43Shot by Etem, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 14:13Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 15:40Boyle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle, Niederreiter, Fontaine · NYR Boyle, Nash, Brassard, Zuccarello, Skjei

  37. P2 17:27Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  38. P2 17:30Goal by Dumba (Niederreiter, Granlund)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Coyle, Granlund, Niederreiter, Dumba · NYR Glass, Staal, Hayes, Skjei

  39. P2 19:10Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 19:51Goal by Moore (Etem, Glass)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Vanek, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Brodin · NYR Moore, Glass, Staal, McDonagh, Etem

  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:29Shot by Hayes, saved by Dubnyk
  44. P3 1:31Shot by Lindberg, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P3 3:21Shot by Pominville, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P3 9:20Skjei: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Stoll, Porter, Carter, Scandella, Brodin · NYR Boyle, Nash, Brassard, Zuccarello, Skjei

  47. P3 9:38Goal by Pominville (Koivu, Suter)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Pominville, Vanek, Suter, Parise · NYR Moore, McDonagh, McIlrath, Fast

  48. P3 9:58Shot by Porter, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P3 10:18Goal by Porter (Fontaine, Suter)+3 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Porter, Scandella, Coyle, Fontaine, Brodin · NYR Boyle, Yandle, Kreider, Zuccarello, Miller

  50. P3 10:29Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P3 11:05Niederreiter: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MIN Pominville, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Granlund · NYR Staal, Brassard, McDonagh, Kreider, Etem, Miller

  52. P3 12:51Shot by Miller, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  53. P3 13:08Shot by Staal, saved by Dubnyk
  54. P3 13:58Shot by Granlund, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 14:10Shot by Pominville, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 16:23Goal by McDonagh (Miller, Fast)+1 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Vanek, Scandella, Prosser, Zucker · NYR McDonagh, Kreider, Fast, Miller, Skjei

  57. P3 16:41Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 17:07Shot by Suter, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 17:41Shot by Carter, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 17:43Goal by Koivu (Carter, Coyle)+1 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Carter, Scandella, Coyle, Brodin · NYR Nash, Yandle, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  61. P3 17:59Shot by Coyle, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 18:03Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 18:10McIlrath: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Suter, Coyle, Niederreiter, Fontaine, Dumba · NYR Stalberg, Lindberg, Hayes, McIlrath, Skjei

  64. P3 18:10Coyle: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Suter, Coyle, Niederreiter, Fontaine, Dumba · NYR Stalberg, Lindberg, Hayes, McIlrath, Skjei

  65. P3 18:18Shot by Etem, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  66. P3 18:24Shot by Etem, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  67. P3 18:31Shot by Boyle, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  68. P3 19:14Shot by Skjei, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  69. P3 19:30Shot by Koivu, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  70. P3 19:37Shot by Scandella, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final