Sun, Dec 20, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 91% of the time.
88%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Turris–Smith–Stone | Chiasson–Dziurzynski–Pageau | Chiasson–Prince–Pageau | Neil–Prince–Lazar | Hoffman–Zibanejad–Lazar | Ryan–Hoffman–Zibanejad | Neil–Dziurzynski–Pageau | Turris–Hoffman–Stone | Turris–Stone–Prince | Neil–Dziurzynski–Lazar | Hoffman–Chiasson–Zibanejad | Prince–Pageau–Lazar | Karlsson–Wiercioch | Methot–Wideman | Methot–Karlsson | Wiercioch–Wideman | Wiercioch–Ceci | Karlsson–Wideman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Namestnikov | 1:150.00–0.06 | 2:150.00–0.00 | 2:050.16–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.11 | 4:260.28–0.13 | 5:580.29–0.08 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Filppula–Callahan–Killorn | 4:520.32–0.01 | 1:460.05–0.00 | 1:110.04–0.00 | 1:120.08–0.02 | 0:340.22–0.00 | 6:430.47–0.03 | 2:540.12–0.01 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:140.22–0.00 | |||||||||
| Blunden–Angelidis–Condra | 0:340.00–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:570.03–0.00 | 0:340.09–0.00 | 3:350.06–0.10 | 0:540.09–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Blunden–Angelidis–Marchessault | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:210.36–0.09 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 1:180.36–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Angelidis–Condra–Marchessault | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 2:150.00–0.00 | 1:440.05–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.06 | 0:420.04–0.00 | 1:470.11–0.00 | 1:100.08–0.00 | 5:420.22–0.06 | 2:400.06–0.01 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Coburn–Nesterov | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:090.14–0.00 | 3:320.03–0.16 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Garrison–Sustr | 1:220.00–0.00 | 2:420.06–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:550.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Carle–Sustr | 1:280.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:310.11–0.06 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Garrison–Nesterov | 2:090.00–0.00 | 0:330.22–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:580.13–0.00 | 0:330.22–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Coburn–Carle | 0:300.00–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.09 | 0:560.00–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.09 | |||||||||||||
| Carle–Stralman | 0:430.00–0.05 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||||
| Stralman–Nesterov | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:060.18–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Coburn–Hedman | 0:380.36–0.00 | 0:430.14–0.00 | 1:210.50–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Coburn–Garrison | 0:390.32–0.00 | 0:460.32–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Stralman–Garrison | 0:440.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||||
| Garrison–Hedman | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 32 | 36:34 | 1:09 | 4:48 | 9 | 5 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 30 | 29:14 | 0:58 | 2:18 | 6 | 3 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 26 | 23:29 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 1 | 4 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 25 | 23:07 | 0:55 | 2:04 | 2 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 25 | 21:51 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 4 | 1 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 24 | 21:22 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 8 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 20:42 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 3 | 7 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 23 | 20:35 | 0:54 | 1:51 | 8 | 2 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 25 | 20:32 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 29 | 20:32 | 0:42 | 1:55 | 4 | 5 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 24 | 20:08 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 22 | 19:43 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 8 | 2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 23 | 19:24 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 23 | 18:58 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 7 | 2 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 22 | 18:54 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 1 | 7 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 18:32 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 5 | 0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 22 | 18:13 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 5 | 0 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 25 | 18:06 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 6 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 24 | 17:46 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 7 | 1 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 22 | 15:41 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 0 | 4 |
 Alex ChiassonOTT | 23 | 15:15 | 0:40 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 17 | 14:24 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Mike AngelidisTBL | 18 | 14:10 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 2 | 4 |
 Shane PrinceOTT | 17 | 13:27 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 19 | 13:10 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 5 | 1 |
 Erik CondraTBL | 17 | 11:56 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 |
 Mike BlundenTBL | 15 | 11:52 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 19 | 11:46 | 0:37 | 1:28 | 5 | 0 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 17 | 10:55 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Jonathan MarchessaultTBL | 12 | 10:13 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 0 | 2 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 15 | 9:31 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 |
 Dave DziurzynskiOTT | 14 | 8:20 | 0:36 | 1:25 | 0 | 2 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 11 | 8:00 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 4 | 0 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 5 | 5:30 | 1:06 | 1:53 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 2 | 0:21 | 0:11 | 0:11 | 0 | 0 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 1 | 0:11 | 0:11 | 0:11 | 0 | 0 |