Sun, Dec 27, 2015·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 95% of the time.
94%
NYI winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Parenteau–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | Komarov–Grabner–Kadri | Lupul–Winnik–Holland | Boyes–Matthias–Froese | Hunwick–Rielly | Phaneuf–Gardiner | Polak–Marincin | Polak–Gardiner | Polak–Rielly | Polak–Hunwick | Phaneuf–Marincin | Hunwick–Gardiner | Phaneuf–Hunwick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas | 1:170.01–0.00 | 2:220.00–0.16 | 1:520.00–0.04 | 1:440.01–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.03 | 2:150.00–0.04 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.12 | |||||
| Tavares–Nelson–Strome | 3:210.22–0.42 | 1:360.09–0.00 | 4:330.13–0.42 | 0:370.16–0.00 | |||||||||
| Nielsen–Okposo–Bailey | 4:000.09–0.05 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:100.10–0.29 | 1:420.07–0.00 | 2:390.02–0.05 | 0:570.10–0.29 | |||||||
| Okposo–Tavares–Nelson | 3:240.24–0.19 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 3:470.28–0.19 | 0:460.00–0.07 | 0:420.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Grabovski–Kulemin–Strome | 1:410.28–0.06 | 2:340.26–0.19 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 2:420.38–0.06 | 0:580.14–0.16 | |||||||
| Nielsen–Bailey–Lee | 2:390.00–0.20 | 1:020.00–0.07 | 2:500.12–0.07 | 0:530.00–0.20 | |||||||||
| Okposo–Bailey–Tavares | 1:520.00–0.48 | 2:020.14–0.15 | 0:420.00–0.07 | 1:410.14–0.24 | 1:200.00–0.39 | 0:420.00–0.07 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Grabovski–Kulemin–Lee | 1:420.02–0.76 | 1:040.22–0.00 | 0:380.08–0.00 | 2:070.02–0.32 | 1:080.14–0.45 | ||||||||
| Nielsen–Lee–Nelson | 1:090.08–0.00 | 1:130.08–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Hamonic–Leddy | 9:070.39–1.08 | 3:490.23–0.30 | 3:150.15–0.10 | 2:210.14–0.11 | 5:370.34–0.29 | 8:420.52–0.67 | 3:240.19–0.39 | 0:370.02–0.45 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||
| Boychuk–de Haan | 1:480.00–0.07 | 4:410.22–0.34 | 4:510.21–0.13 | 2:370.00–0.04 | 4:450.19–0.33 | 2:370.02–0.01 | 3:170.09–0.11 | 2:060.10–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.12 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.00 | |
| Strait–Hickey | 2:030.00–0.41 | 2:510.16–0.16 | 2:330.11–0.16 | 1:140.20–0.00 | 4:430.09–0.47 | 0:580.08–0.04 | 2:020.16–0.36 | 1:370.14–0.00 | |||||
| Hickey–Leddy | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYITORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Travis HamonicNYI | 25 | 25:08 | 1:00 | 2:21 | 1 | 5 |
 Nick LeddyNYI | 23 | 24:00 | 1:03 | 2:21 | 2 | 5 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 27 | 23:02 | 0:51 | 2:23 | 1 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 22:12 | 0:51 | 2:01 | 1 | 4 |
 Johnny BoychukNYI | 26 | 21:47 | 0:50 | 2:00 | 4 | 4 |
 John TavaresNYI | 23 | 21:15 | 0:55 | 2:21 | 7 | 1 |
 Calvin de HaanNYI | 25 | 20:42 | 0:50 | 2:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 24 | 20:36 | 0:52 | 2:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 24 | 19:57 | 0:50 | 3:36 | 6 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoNYI | 21 | 19:39 | 0:56 | 2:21 | 4 | 3 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 19 | 19:25 | 1:01 | 2:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 25 | 18:36 | 0:45 | 2:03 | 6 | 1 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 25 | 18:35 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 9 | 2 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 25 | 18:26 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 9 | 2 |
 PA ParenteauTOR | 25 | 18:20 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 9 | 2 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 28 | 17:43 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 1 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 27 | 17:30 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 1 | 1 |
 Michael GrabnerTOR | 25 | 16:18 | 0:39 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |
 Ryan StromeNYI | 21 | 16:03 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 4 | 2 |
 Frans NielsenNYI | 22 | 15:47 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 3 | 6 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 20 | 15:43 | 0:47 | 2:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 22 | 15:28 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 6 | 0 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 19 | 14:22 | 0:45 | 2:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Daniel WinnikTOR | 19 | 13:58 | 0:44 | 2:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Thomas HickeyNYI | 20 | 13:42 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Nikolay KuleminNYI | 21 | 13:19 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 2 | 6 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 16 | 13:10 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 4 | 1 |
 Brian StraitNYI | 17 | 13:06 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 2 | 1 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiNYI | 17 | 12:28 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 16 | 12:26 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 18 | 11:50 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 Brad BoyesTOR | 15 | 10:55 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 4 | 4 |
 Byron FroeseTOR | 16 | 10:09 | 0:38 | 1:36 | 4 | 5 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 13 | 10:07 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 16 | 9:54 | 0:37 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 Shawn MatthiasTOR | 16 | 9:27 | 0:35 | 1:10 | 3 | 4 |