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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 31, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 62% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:47Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 3:29Shot by Gorges, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 4:38Shot by de Haan, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 6:20Martin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel · NYI Grabovski, Clutterbuck, Hamonic, Martin, Leddy

  6. P1 6:54Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Greiss5v4
  7. P1 7:33Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Greiss5v4
  8. P1 7:48Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Greiss5v4
  9. P1 7:55Shot by Kane, saved by Greiss5v4
  10. P1 8:08Shot by Kane, saved by Greiss5v4
  11. P1 8:11Shot by Girgensons, saved by Greiss5v4
  12. P1 8:17Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss5v4
  13. P1 9:37Shot by Foligno, saved by Greiss
  14. P1 9:39Shot by Larsson, saved by Greiss
  15. P1 9:40Lee: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Larsson, Ristolainen · NYI Zidlicky, Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Lee

  16. P1 9:50Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss5v4
  17. P1 10:46Nielsen: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Franson, Kane, Girgensons · NYI Nielsen, Boychuk, Kulemin, de Haan

  18. P1 10:49Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss5v3
  19. P1 11:15Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Greiss5v3
  20. P1 11:32Shot by Kane, saved by Greiss5v3
  21. P1 13:41Shot by McCabe, saved by Greiss
  22. P1 14:41Shot by Strome, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 14:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  24. P1 15:00Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  25. P1 17:10Shot by Legwand, saved by Greiss
  26. P1 18:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:15Shot by Kane, saved by Greiss
  30. P2 4:41Shot by Boychuk, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 4:48Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 5:35Shot by Franson, saved by Greiss
  33. P2 6:30Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 6:45Shot by Girgensons, saved by Greiss
  35. P2 6:54Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 7:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 7:28Shot by Bailey, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 8:15Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Greiss
  39. P2 8:37Gorges: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel · NYI Nielsen, Boychuk, Okposo, Kulemin, de Haan

  40. P2 8:54Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark4v5
  41. P2 9:27Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark4v5
  42. P2 9:35Goal by Nielsen (Tavares, Leddy)4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Weber, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Tavares, Leddy, Lee

  43. P2 10:19Shot by Foligno, saved by Greiss
  44. P2 10:44Shot by Strome, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 11:31Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss
  46. P2 12:02Shot by Boychuk, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 12:52Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Greiss
  48. P2 14:32Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 14:37Shot by Boychuk, saved by Ullmark
  50. P2 15:38Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 15:44Shot by Zidlicky, saved by Ullmark
  52. P2 16:35Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss
  53. P2 17:20Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss
  54. P2 17:45Shot by Boychuk, saved by Ullmark
  55. P2 18:29Shot by Boychuk, saved by Ullmark
  56. P2 19:03Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  57. P2 19:48Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:48Shot by McCabe, saved by Greiss
  61. P3 1:05Shot by Okposo, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 1:07Goal by Kulemin (Okposo, Boychuk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Kane, Larsson, Ristolainen · NYI Nielsen, Boychuk, Okposo, Kulemin, de Haan

  63. P3 1:38Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark
  64. P3 3:06Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  65. P3 4:06Shot by Girgensons, saved by Greiss
  66. P3 4:17Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 4:31Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ullmark5v6
  68. P3 4:32Gionta: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Franson, Kane, McCabe, Eichel · NYI Boychuk, Grabovski, Tavares, de Haan, Nelson, Strome

  69. P3 5:32Shot by Leddy, saved by Ullmark4v5
  70. P3 5:55Shot by Legwand, saved by Greiss4v5
  71. P3 7:53Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss
  72. P3 9:45Lee: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, Girgensons, McCabe, Eichel · NYI Zidlicky, Grabovski, Hickey, Lee, Strome

  73. P3 10:22Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss5v4
  74. P3 10:30Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss5v4
  75. P3 10:35Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss5v4
  76. P3 11:18Goal by O'Reilly (Eichel, Ristolainen)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, de Haan, Cizikas

  77. P3 12:05Shot by Hamonic, saved by Ullmark
  78. P3 12:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  79. P3 12:37Shot by Girgensons, saved by Greiss
  80. P3 14:35Shot by Kane, saved by Greiss
  81. P3 14:39Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Greiss
  82. P3 16:11Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  83. P3 17:06Shot by Kane, saved by Greiss
  84. P3 17:16Shot by Kane, saved by Greiss
  85. P3 18:29Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss6v5
  86. P3 19:05Shot by Reinhart, saved by Greiss6v5
  87. P3 19:41Shot by Franson, saved by Greiss6v5
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final