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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 2, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Detroit Red Wings

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 76% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by McGinn, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:21Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 2:00Shot by Sheahan, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 2:38Shot by Legwand, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 3:26Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 4:07Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 5:45Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 9:00Helm: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Bogosian, Deslauriers, Larsson, Eichel · DET Datsyuk, Green, Helm, Smith, Nosek

  10. P1 11:02Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 11:04Shot by Larsson, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 11:30Shot by Larsson, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 11:38Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 12:24Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 12:47Shot by McGinn, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 12:59Goal by Richards (Sheahan, Larkin)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Weber, McGinn, O'Reilly, Reinhart · DET Richards, Sheahan, Marchenko, DeKeyser, Larkin

  17. P1 13:16Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson
  18. P1 14:08Nosek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, McCabe, Eichel · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Nosek

  19. P1 15:15Shot by Sheahan, saved by Johnson5v4
  20. P1 18:07Shot by McGinn, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 18:38Shot by Green, saved by Johnson
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:36Weber: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Weber, McGinn, O'Reilly, Reinhart · DET Richards, Green, Smith, Sheahan, Larkin

  25. P2 3:04Shot by Richards, saved by Johnson4v5
  26. P2 6:01Franson: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Bogosian, Kane, Larsson, McCabe · DET Richards, Zetterberg, Green, Smith, Sheahan, Larkin

  27. P2 6:32Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson4v5
  28. P2 6:41Shot by Legwand, saved by Mrazek4v5
  29. P2 6:51Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson4v5
  30. P2 7:09Shot by Gionta, saved by Mrazek4v5
  31. P2 7:59Goal by Sheahan (Green, Tatar)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen · DET Richards, Green, Tatar, Sheahan, Larkin

  32. P2 8:15Shot by McCabe, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 8:48Shot by Helm, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 8:57Shot by Glendening, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 9:03Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 10:01Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 10:48Shot by Sheahan, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 11:43Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 12:13Shot by Larsson, saved by Mrazek
  40. P2 12:24Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 12:45Ericsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar

  42. P2 12:58Shot by Larsson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  43. P2 13:22Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  44. P2 14:26Goal by Eichel (Ristolainen)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · DET Kronwall, Smith, Sheahan, Nosek

  45. P2 15:08Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 17:08Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Johnson
  47. P2 17:27Goal by Eichel (Girgensons, Gionta)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 2:25Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson
  51. P3 2:27Goal by Zetterberg (Nyquist, Smith)+29 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel · DET Zetterberg, Green, Smith, Nyquist, Glendening

  52. P3 4:05Shot by Tatar, saved by Johnson
  53. P3 4:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  54. P3 5:25Green: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe, Eichel · DET Datsyuk, Green, Helm, Smith, Tatar

  55. P3 7:05Shot by McGinn, saved by Mrazek5v4
  56. P3 7:36Green: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Deslauriers, McCabe, Eichel · DET Green, Sheahan, Marchenko, DeKeyser, Nosek

  57. P3 8:34Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek5v4
  58. P3 8:58Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek5v4
  59. P3 8:58Goal by Reinhart, unassisted5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · DET Sheahan, Marchenko, DeKeyser, Nosek

  60. P3 9:47Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson
  61. P3 12:54Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 13:03Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson
  63. P3 13:39Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson
  64. P3 15:01Shot by Green, saved by Johnson
  65. P3 16:28Shot by Gorges, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 16:34Shot by McCabe, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 17:10Goal by Tatar (Green, Datsyuk)+42 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, Foligno · DET Datsyuk, Green, Helm, Smith, Tatar

  68. P3 18:14Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 18:36Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek6v5
  70. P3 19:44Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek6v5
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final