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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 2, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 76% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Alexey MarchenkoD · #47000+1022:590.0243.2%0.0
Danny DeKeyserD · #65000+1021:190.0248.6%0.0
Niklas KronwallD · #55000−1020:420.0022.9%0.0
Justin AbdelkaderLW · #80000119:070.1439.7%0.0
Mike GreenD · #25022+2217:440.1872.2%+59.7
Pavel DatsyukC · #130110017:430.0027.5%+42.0
Riley SheahanC · #15112+1417:400.5576.1%+38.9
Brendan SmithD · #2011+2117:300.0248.0%+29.1
Henrik ZetterbergC · #40101+1116:330.2152.8%+29.1
Jonathan EricssonD · #52000−1015:560.0018.5%0.0
Darren HelmC · #430000115:420.0222.0%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #41000+1114:550.0553.1%0.0
Tomas TatarLW · #211120214:440.2129.5%+59.7
Gustav NyquistRW · #14011+1714:210.3152.4%+29.1
Brad RichardsC · #17101+1212:400.1472.2%+21.1
Dylan LarkinC · #71011+1112:340.0175.4%+21.1
Tomas NosekLW · #830000011:130.0543.1%0.0
Joakim AnderssonC · #18000007:490.0021.4%0.0
Petr Mrazek#34W35323.9143.45+0.459:46

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus RistolainenD · #550110324:100.0850.8%+14.7
Ryan O'ReillyC · #90000−2223:330.1945.1%0.0
Zach BogosianD · #47000−1221:130.1965.7%0.0
Evander KaneLW · #9000−1419:520.2779.7%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #290000219:400.0564.6%0.0
Jack EichelC · #152020219:200.2330.6%+41.6
Sam ReinhartC · #23101−1318:540.6449.8%+29.5
Josh GorgesD · #4000−1118:420.0249.1%0.0
Jamie McGinnLW · #88000−1418:380.1349.0%0.0
Johan LarssonLW · #220000416:461.0084.4%0.0
Brian GiontaRW · #120110115:010.2045.8%+26.9
Cody FransonD · #46000−1215:000.0453.9%0.0
Mike WeberD · #6000−1013:280.0055.4%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280110112:390.0237.0%+26.9
Marcus FolignoLW · #82000−1011:420.0058.5%0.0
Matt MoulsonLW · #260000211:190.3886.9%0.0
Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #440000010:560.008.0%0.0
David LegwandC · #17000026:530.029.3%0.0
Chad Johnson#31L23194.8261.93−2.158:16