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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 5, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Calgary Flames 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 60% of the time.

CGY winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Brown, saved by Ramo
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Jooris, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 0:39Shot by Wideman, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 0:53Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 3:03Shot by Marchessault, saved by Ramo
  7. P1 3:46Shot by Stralman, saved by Ramo
  8. P1 3:56Goal by Stajan (Giordano, Brodie)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Colborne, Bouma, Brodie · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Brown, Paquette

  9. P1 5:01Shot by Ferland, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 5:54Shot by Granlund, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 6:17Shot by Wideman, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 7:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ramo
  13. P1 8:17Shot by Wideman, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 10:49Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 10:55Shot by Wideman, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 11:08Shot by Granlund, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 11:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Ramo
  18. P1 12:37Shot by Bouma, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 13:01Shot by Paquette, saved by Ramo
  20. P1 16:06Shot by Colborne, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 16:52Shot by Garrison, saved by Ramo
  22. P1 19:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ramo
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:35Shot by Palat, saved by Ramo
  26. P2 0:43Shot by Stralman, saved by Ramo
  27. P2 1:58Shot by Paquette, saved by Ramo
  28. P2 2:48Shot by Raymond, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 2:54Shot by Sustr, saved by Ramo
  30. P2 3:24Shot by Coburn, saved by Ramo
  31. P2 4:56Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 5:13Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 5:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Ramo
  34. P2 6:03Shot by Sustr, saved by Ramo
  35. P2 6:14Shot by Sustr, saved by Ramo
  36. P2 9:55Shot by Callahan, saved by Ramo
  37. P2 11:00Shot by Backlund, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 11:33Shot by Killorn, saved by Ramo
  39. P2 14:27Shot by Brodie, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 15:30Goal by Jones (Giordano)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jones, Giordano, Backlund, Brodie, Ferland · TBL Callahan, Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  41. P2 16:18Shot by Russell, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 17:24Shot by Hedman, saved by Ramo
  43. P2 17:25Shot by Killorn, saved by Ramo
  44. P2 19:19Shot by Paquette, saved by Ramo
  45. P2 19:21Shot by Palat, saved by Ramo
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:14Shot by Jones, saved by Bishop
  49. P3 0:20Shot by Palat, saved by Ramo
  50. P3 1:14Paquette: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Colborne, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · TBL Killorn, Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  51. P3 5:07Shot by Filppula, saved by Ramo
  52. P3 11:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Ramo
  53. P3 13:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ramo
  54. P3 14:05Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 16:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Ramo
  56. P3 16:24Shot by Stralman, saved by Ramo
  57. P3 17:06Shot by Nesterov, saved by Ramo
  58. P3 17:35Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 18:21Goal by Stamkos (Stralman, Filppula)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jones, Giordano, Backlund, Brodie, Ferland · TBL Filppula, Boyle, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Namestnikov

  60. P3 19:02Goal by Bouma (Wideman, Russell)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Stajan, Russell, Bouma, Jooris · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  61. P3 19:51Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ramo5v6
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final