Tue, Jan 5, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
9%
31%
CGY winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:58 | 0.09 | 39.4% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:22 | 0.21 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.04 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.28 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.43 | 31.1% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.03 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.02 | 30.2% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.09 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.36 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.08 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.08 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.15 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.07 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.03 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.00 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 10:34 | 0.21 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:29 | 0.22 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 5:31 | 0.02 | 9.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.49 | +0.5 | 58:21 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:08 | 0.07 | 69.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:26 | 0.18 | 84.4% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.13 | 29.4% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.04 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:04 | 0.30 | 49.9% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.25 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.02 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:11 | 0.29 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.04 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.46 | 54.5% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.25 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.09 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.08 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.13 | 70.1% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.62 | 70.1% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.07 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.42 | +1.4 | 60:00 |