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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 5, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Calgary Flames 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 60% of the time.

CGY winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johnson–Palat–KucherovFilppula–Killorn–StamkosBoyle–Namestnikov–MarchessaultCallahan–Brown–PaquetteFilppula–Stamkos–NamestnikovKucherov–Brown–PaquetteKillorn–Brown–PaquetteBoyle–Marchessault–BrownStralman–HedmanGarrison–SustrCoburn–NesterovStralman–NesterovGarrison–NesterovStralman–GarrisonHedman–SustrCoburn–HedmanCoburn–SustrHedman–NesterovCoburn–Garrison
Colborne–Gaudreau–Monahan1:160.03–0.038:550.40–0.140:460.02–0.001:000.11–0.006:020.26–0.041:190.02–0.081:140.02–0.000:350.00–0.001:360.08–0.031:240.06–0.000:330.00–0.00
Jones–Backlund–Ferland7:020.37–0.530:360.00–0.001:070.18–0.001:080.00–0.000:430.00–0.003:240.07–0.152:140.25–0.182:230.01–0.261:420.22–0.001:080.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:360.02–0.00
Raymond–Granlund–Bennett3:450.01–0.004:270.31–0.221:360.00–0.020:450.00–0.103:350.27–0.192:150.04–0.002:250.01–0.120:550.00–0.001:080.00–0.180:590.00–0.00
Stajan–Bouma–Jooris1:380.10–0.001:120.00–0.071:170.00–0.001:510.35–0.051:440.00–0.020:420.02–0.092:000.00–0.102:590.45–0.072:090.02–0.090:400.00–0.020:480.00–0.00
Giordano–Brodie3:470.32–0.037:450.48–0.061:090.02–0.001:360.30–0.022:420.11–0.028:400.28–0.111:440.29–0.002:470.02–0.091:180.21–0.000:440.05–0.031:560.22–0.021:010.12–0.000:310.04–0.02
Russell–Hamilton9:270.17–0.531:590.13–0.130:450.03–0.000:330.00–0.021:050.00–0.003:020.20–0.153:440.12–0.274:030.03–0.260:430.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Wideman–Smid1:030.00–0.004:490.31–0.222:370.01–0.031:080.00–0.001:010.00–0.002:470.26–0.193:440.04–0.071:070.01–0.101:440.01–0.001:150.00–0.000:300.00–0.180:460.00–0.00
Russell–Brodie0:440.00–0.231:270.00–0.031:190.00–0.250:300.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Wideman–Russell0:480.00–0.040:370.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:300.03–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJooris FBouma FStajan FColborne FGaudreau FMonahan FBacklund FJones FFerland FRaymond FBennett FGranlund FWideman DSmid DGiordano DBrodie DRussell DHamilton DRamo GPaquette FBrown FCallahan FKillorn FFilppula FStamkos FPalat FKucherov FJohnson FBoyle FNamestnikov FMarchessault FGarrison DSustr DHedman DStralman DCoburn DNesterov DBishop G
CGYTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

TJ BrodieCGY2926:080:541:5714
Anton StralmanTBL2524:581:002:1542
Victor HedmanTBL2524:220:582:2362
Mark GiordanoCGY2823:260:501:3512
Kris RussellCGY3122:430:441:5422
Jason GarrisonTBL2620:430:481:2902
Nikita KucherovTBL2320:050:522:1333
Steven StamkosTBL2219:590:551:2752
Nikita NesterovTBL2319:450:521:5301
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2219:440:541:3852
Tyler JohnsonTBL2219:170:532:1342
Ondrej PalatTBL2218:450:512:1342
Joe ColborneCGY2118:140:521:5103
Dennis WidemanCGY2618:040:421:0933
Johnny GaudreauCGY2117:560:511:2203
Dougie HamiltonCGY2216:350:451:4932
Alex KillornTBL1916:340:521:3230
Sean MonahanCGY2116:110:461:2203
Mikael BacklundCGY2215:480:431:1133
Andrej SustrTBL2015:410:471:1705
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1815:240:511:1833
Sam BennettCGY2015:220:461:3541
David JonesCGY2214:590:411:1323
Markus GranlundCGY1914:580:471:1932
Micheal FerlandCGY2214:530:411:0833
Braydon CoburnTBL1914:310:461:2613
Mason RaymondCGY1914:140:451:2632
Ladislav SmidCGY1813:040:441:2543
Matt StajanCGY1713:030:461:1711
Lance BoumaCGY1712:350:441:2211
JT BrownTBL1512:280:501:2902
Brian BoyleTBL1511:490:471:0513
Josh JoorisCGY1811:470:391:2211
Cedric PaquetteTBL1410:340:451:0902
Jonathan MarchessaultTBL119:290:521:1512
Ryan CallahanTBL85:310:411:0801