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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 8, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 3, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 2:07McLeod: Charging (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie · NSH Ribeiro, Jackman, Neal, Jarnkrok, Bitetto, Forsberg

  4. P1 2:35Goal by Johansen (Ekholm, Ribeiro)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Holden · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen

  5. P1 4:20Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 4:57Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 5:40Bitetto: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Bodnarchuk, Grigorenko, Martinsen · NSH Jackman, Gaustad, Wilson, Smith, Bitetto

  8. P1 7:43Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 8:57Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 10:35Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 10:51Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 11:06Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 11:08Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 11:39Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 11:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 11:50Jackman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, Redmond, Duchene, MacKinnon · NSH Jackman, Gaustad, Nystrom, Jarnkrok, Bitetto

  17. P1 11:52Soderberg: Delaying game smothering puck (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Soderberg, MacKinnon · NSH Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  18. P1 12:48Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne4v4
  19. P1 13:37Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov4v4
  20. P1 13:51Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne4v5
  21. P1 14:36Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Guenin, Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Martinsen · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Josi, Smith, Bitetto

  22. P1 14:49Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  23. P1 14:50Goal by Iginla (Soderberg, MacKinnon)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Soderberg, MacKinnon · NSH Gaustad, Weber, Josi, Salomaki

  24. P1 15:01Shot by Salomaki, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 15:26Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 17:40Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  27. P1 17:45Goal by McLeod (Skille)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Bodnarchuk · NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Watson

  28. P1 19:59Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:45Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 2:03Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 2:45Goal by Ellis (Ekholm, Wilson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Holden, Barrie, Landeskog, Grigorenko · NSH Neal, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen

  34. P2 3:09Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Beauchemin, Bodnarchuk, Duchene, MacKinnon · NSH Fisher, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Salomaki

  35. P2 3:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  36. P2 5:20Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 6:23Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 7:40Goal by Landeskog (Soderberg, Comeau)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Guenin, Comeau, Soderberg, Redmond, Landeskog · NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Watson

  39. P2 8:29Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 10:04Fisher: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Salomaki

  41. P2 12:44Shot by Skille, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 13:22Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 16:37Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Johansen)+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg

  44. P2 17:01Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 19:09Mitchell: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Bodnarchuk · NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok

  46. P2 19:31Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov4v5
  47. P2 19:59Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 3:45Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  51. P3 4:16Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 4:40Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 8:29Shot by Tanguay, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 9:03Salomaki: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · NSH Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Salomaki

  55. P3 10:15Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  56. P3 10:51Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne5v4
  57. P3 11:00Goal by Barrie (Holden, Comeau)5v4+34 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog · NSH Gaustad, Weber, Josi, Watson

  58. P3 11:23Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 12:20Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 15:06Shot by Skille, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 16:15Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 19:12Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov5v6
  63. P3 19:58Goal by Skille (Holden)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Holden · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final