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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 8, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 3, Colorado Avalanche 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ribeiro–Jarnkrok–ForsbergNeal–Wilson–JohansenFisher–Smith–SalomakiNeal–Johansen–ForsbergGaustad–Nystrom–WatsonGaustad–Nystrom–JarnkrokRibeiro–Wilson–JarnkrokFisher–Wilson–SalomakiRibeiro–Neal–WilsonEllis–EkholmWeber–JosiJackman–BitettoEllis–BitettoJackman–JosiJosi–Ellis
Tanguay–Duchene–MacKinnon2:350.07–0.032:060.09–0.002:010.05–0.041:100.00–0.013:310.15–0.005:010.06–0.16
Comeau–Soderberg–Landeskog2:310.00–0.001:060.00–0.031:460.00–0.081:210.04–0.040:370.08–0.001:160.01–0.125:140.01–0.123:030.08–0.031:240.00–0.08
Mitchell–McLeod–Skille2:020.48–0.131:370.05–0.030:450.00–0.021:140.00–0.040:580.00–0.001:170.04–0.001:480.00–0.131:330.19–0.033:120.04–0.020:530.09–0.00
Iginla–Grigorenko–Martinsen1:060.00–0.211:030.00–0.001:150.00–0.001:110.06–0.000:320.00–0.001:010.00–0.002:010.00–0.143:150.06–0.21
Soderberg–McLeod–Skille0:480.00–0.001:020.00–0.00
Holden–Barrie4:080.48–0.341:590.07–0.051:230.00–0.001:040.00–0.070:500.00–0.001:510.04–0.000:420.00–0.010:510.00–0.025:400.08–0.173:220.00–0.314:380.04–0.210:360.41–0.00
Beauchemin–Bodnarchuk2:070.02–0.003:390.03–0.051:450.00–0.004:030.10–0.110:470.00–0.105:290.00–0.104:520.19–0.030:580.00–0.000:300.02–0.000:460.05–0.02
Guenin–Redmond3:020.09–0.100:300.00–0.002:260.08–0.011:420.05–0.002:190.07–0.003:490.10–0.013:330.05–0.10
Guenin–Holden
Beauchemin–Holden0:340.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndComeau FSoderberg FLandeskog FDuchene FMacKinnon FTanguay FMcLeod FMitchell FSkille FIginla FGrigorenko FMartinsen FBeauchemin DBodnarchuk DGuenin DRedmond DHolden DBarrie DVarlamov GNeal FWilson FJohansen FFisher FSalomaki FSmith FForsberg FJarnkrok FRibeiro FNystrom FGaustad FWatson FWeber DJosi DEllis DEkholm DBitetto DJackman DRinne G
COLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Francois BeaucheminCOL3127:270:531:5942
Nick HoldenCOL3225:170:472:3725
Ryan EllisNSH3324:060:441:2153
Mattias EkholmNSH3423:400:421:2953
Shea WeberNSH3823:130:371:4558
Tyson BarrieCOL2822:500:491:3324
Carl SoderbergCOL2522:270:542:2443
Roman JosiNSH3622:200:371:3257
Filip ForsbergNSH2921:490:451:3254
Blake ComeauCOL2419:190:482:0433
James NealNSH2419:110:481:3250
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2418:150:461:1931
Ryan JohansenNSH2417:460:441:3270
Calle JarnkrokNSH2717:310:391:4245
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2317:110:452:1972
Alex TanguayCOL2417:060:432:1972
Matt DucheneCOL2416:330:411:3172
Andrew BodnarchukCOL2416:320:411:3921
Mike RibeiroNSH2116:310:471:4841
Mike FisherNSH2516:150:391:1362
Barret JackmanNSH2615:110:351:2921
Cody McLeodCOL2014:360:441:2621
Colin WilsonNSH2414:030:351:0930
John MitchellCOL2112:330:361:1521
Eric NystromNSH1712:120:431:4206
Jarome IginlaCOL1812:060:401:1771
Anthony BitettoNSH2312:020:311:0021
Jack SkilleCOL1912:000:381:2021
Nate GueninCOL1711:560:421:2841
Miikka SalomakiNSH1911:350:371:1343
Zach RedmondCOL1510:480:431:2531
Paul GaustadNSH1810:460:361:4206
Mikhail GrigorenkoCOL139:370:441:1121
Andreas MartinsenCOL138:590:411:1121
Craig SmithNSH168:230:311:0150
Austin WatsonNSH85:500:441:3702