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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 14, 2016·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Carolina Hurricanes 4, St. Louis Blues 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Home

St. Louis Blues

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.

STL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:44Shot by McGinn, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 2:36Hainsey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Steen, Brouwer, Stastny, Shattenkirk, Pietrangelo · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Lindholm

  4. P1 5:47Fabbri: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL Shattenkirk, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Fabbri · CAR Hainsey, Faulk, Skinner, Rask, McGinn

  5. P1 7:06Shot by Slavin, saved by Elliott4v5
  6. P1 9:27Shot by Slavin, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 10:09Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lack
  8. P1 10:46Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lack
  9. P1 11:01Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lack
  10. P1 11:50Shot by Staal, saved by Elliott
  11. P1 13:44Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lack
  12. P1 15:12Shot by Versteeg, saved by Elliott
  13. P1 16:33Hanifin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: STL Upshall, Backes, Berglund, Bortuzzo, Edmundson · CAR Staal, Versteeg, Slavin, Lindholm, Hanifin

  14. P1 16:33Upshall: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: STL Upshall, Backes, Berglund, Bortuzzo, Edmundson · CAR Staal, Versteeg, Slavin, Lindholm, Hanifin

  15. P1 17:26Shot by Butler, saved by Lack4v4
  16. P1 19:06Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lack
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:20Shot by Parayko, saved by Lack
  20. P2 1:49Goal by Skinner (Nestrasil)+23 pts WP

    On ice: STL Backes, Butler, Tarasenko, Parayko, Fabbri · CAR Staal, Nestrasil, Skinner, Pesce, Hanifin

  21. P2 2:06Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  22. P2 2:14Shot by Rask, saved by Elliott
  23. P2 3:17Shot by Hainsey, saved by Elliott
  24. P2 3:25Shot by McClement, saved by Elliott
  25. P2 3:47Shot by Staal, saved by Elliott
  26. P2 4:13Shot by Lindholm, saved by Elliott
  27. P2 4:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  28. P2 5:00Shot by McGinn, saved by Elliott
  29. P2 5:23McGinn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: STL Steen, Backes, Brouwer, Stastny, Butler, Parayko · CAR Hainsey, Faulk, Skinner, Rask, McGinn

  30. P2 5:55Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lack5v4
  31. P2 8:16Shot by Upshall, saved by Lack
  32. P2 10:16Shot by Versteeg, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 10:19Shot by Lindholm, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 10:22Shot by Faulk, saved by Elliott
  35. P2 12:29Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lack
  36. P2 14:02Shot by Hainsey, saved by Elliott
  37. P2 14:45Shot by Stastny, saved by Lack
  38. P2 15:18Staal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Backes, Bortuzzo, Jaskin, Edmundson, Fabbri · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Lindholm

  39. P2 15:58Shot by Staal, saved by Elliott5v4
  40. P2 17:46Shot by Versteeg, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 18:04Backes: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: STL Steen, Backes, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Parayko · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Rask, Lindholm

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:42Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Lack
  45. P3 1:37Stastny: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: STL Upshall, Brouwer, Shattenkirk, Pietrangelo, Fabbri · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nestrasil, Faulk, Skinner, Rask

  46. P3 3:22Goal by Pesce (Slavin, Rask)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: STL Steen, Brouwer, Butler, Shattenkirk · CAR Versteeg, Staal, Rask, Slavin, Pesce

  47. P3 3:40Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lack
  48. P3 4:37Shot by Hanifin, saved by Elliott
  49. P3 4:50Shot by Slavin, saved by Elliott
  50. P3 6:18Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lack
  51. P3 6:45Shot by Edmundson, saved by Lack
  52. P3 7:13Goal by McGinn (Skinner)+4 pts WP

    On ice: STL Upshall, Backes, Bortuzzo, Jaskin, Parayko · CAR Skinner, Rask, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce

  53. P3 7:29Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lack
  54. P3 7:31Shot by Edmundson, saved by Lack
  55. P3 7:33Goal by Lehtera (Edmundson)+4 pts WP

    On ice: STL Brouwer, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Edmundson, Fabbri · CAR Faulk, Skinner, Rask, McGinn, Hanifin

  56. P3 8:12Shot by Staal, saved by Binnington
  57. P3 8:29Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Lack
  58. P3 9:13Shot by Staal, saved by Binnington
  59. P3 9:52Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lack
  60. P3 11:18Lindholm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Stastny, Berglund, Shattenkirk, Tarasenko, Parayko · CAR Liles, Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Lindholm

  61. P3 13:23Shot by Upshall, saved by Lack
  62. P3 15:38Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lack
  63. P3 16:21Goal by Nash (Hainsey)+1 pts WP

    On ice: STL Upshall, Backes, Shattenkirk, Pietrangelo, Jaskin · CAR Hainsey, Liles, McClement, Nash, Malone

  64. P3 16:39Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lack
  65. P3 17:40Shot by Skinner, saved by Binnington
  66. P3 19:19Shot by Upshall, saved by Lack
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final