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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 14, 2016·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Carolina Hurricanes 4, St. Louis Blues 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.

STL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Versteeg–LindholmStaal–Nestrasil–NordstromSkinner–Rask–McGinnMcClement–Nash–MaloneMcClement–Skinner–NordstromHainsey–FaulkSlavin–HanifinLiles–PesceHainsey–LilesSlavin–PesceHainsey–PesceHainsey–SlavinLiles–SlavinFaulk–Hanifin
Steen–Brouwer–Stastny3:060.00–0.080:560.02–0.001:100.00–0.110:410.00–0.125:030.00–0.17
Upshall–Backes–Berglund0:550.00–0.263:110.01–0.030:460.00–0.001:040.00–0.002:550.01–0.030:480.00–0.26
Brodziak–Reaves–Jaskin0:410.00–0.112:250.05–0.010:440.00–0.081:530.00–0.100:330.05–0.000:360.00–0.110:470.00–0.00
Lehtera–Tarasenko–Fabbri0:330.00–0.001:160.00–0.050:300.05–0.001:290.08–0.030:460.00–0.001:410.00–0.081:320.08–0.03
Brouwer–Lehtera–Fabbri1:070.07–0.031:110.34–0.001:080.00–0.000:580.41–0.00
Stastny–Berglund–Tarasenko2:310.03–0.120:350.00–0.05
Berglund–Lehtera–Tarasenko0:560.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Backes–Berglund–Jaskin0:320.00–0.121:170.00–0.17
Upshall–Backes–Jaskin0:320.02–0.050:340.00–0.070:340.00–0.07
Shattenkirk–Pietrangelo2:350.00–0.472:380.23–0.062:280.00–0.030:590.00–0.103:580.00–0.491:510.19–0.051:200.00–0.020:430.00–0.070:490.00–0.00
Butler–Parayko1:230.13–0.071:480.01–0.001:410.05–0.101:360.05–0.081:320.00–0.002:590.01–0.111:450.05–0.000:380.07–0.00
Bortuzzo–Edmundson2:410.00–0.301:440.00–0.102:120.02–0.090:320.00–0.031:550.00–0.041:240.00–0.033:140.02–0.310:410.00–0.03
Pietrangelo–Edmundson0:570.34–0.000:500.00–0.000:570.08–0.002:090.09–0.001:010.08–0.00
Pietrangelo–Parayko0:390.00–0.030:310.00–0.001:040.00–0.030:340.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Parayko0:490.00–0.000:450.00–0.05
Bortuzzo–Parayko0:510.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:350.00–0.05
Butler–Pietrangelo0:410.00–0.121:110.00–0.12
Butler–Shattenkirk0:400.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSteen FStastny FBrouwer FUpshall FBerglund FBackes FLehtera FFabbri FTarasenko FJaskin FBrodziak FReaves FShattenkirk DPietrangelo DParayko DButler DEdmundson DBortuzzo DElliott GBinnington GStaal FLindholm FVersteeg FNordstrom FStaal FNestrasil FMcGinn FSkinner FRask FMcClement FMalone FNash FFaulk DHainsey DHanifin DSlavin DLiles DPesce DLack G
STLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex PietrangeloSTL3127:470:541:5454
Ron HainseyCAR3125:090:491:3743
Justin FaulkCAR2825:070:541:5252
Kevin ShattenkirkSTL3022:280:451:4535
Colton ParaykoSTL2322:030:581:5213
Jaccob SlavinCAR3021:500:441:3355
Patrik BerglundSTL2519:460:471:2554
Jordan StaalCAR2618:330:431:1433
Paul StastnySTL2317:530:471:1225
Troy BrouwerSTL2517:440:431:1724
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2417:080:431:1272
David BackesSTL2517:040:411:5944
John-Michael LilesCAR2216:550:461:2306
Joakim NordstromCAR2616:470:391:2823
Eric StaalCAR2416:440:421:3343
Joel EdmundsonSTL2416:400:422:3033
Kris VersteegCAR2416:230:411:1343
Noah HanifinCAR2416:000:401:0570
Elias LindholmCAR2415:520:401:1753
Alexander SteenSTL1915:490:501:5824
Brett PesceCAR2215:450:431:1923
Victor RaskCAR2015:320:471:2231
Chris ButlerSTL2215:250:421:5021
Jori LehteraSTL2215:140:421:4571
Andrej NestrasilCAR1714:080:501:5240
Jay McClementCAR2113:340:391:1415
Jeff SkinnerCAR1713:300:481:2223
Robby FabbriSTL1812:140:411:0901
Kyle BrodziakSTL1611:510:441:1502
Robert BortuzzoSTL1811:470:391:4322
Brock McGinnCAR1511:390:471:1221
Scottie UpshallSTL2211:270:311:0111
Brad MaloneCAR1711:250:401:1414
Dmitrij JaskinSTL1511:160:451:3623
Ryan ReavesSTL118:500:481:1402
Riley NashCAR115:460:311:0010