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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 15, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 52% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–ConnollyTalbot–Rinaldo–FerraroEriksson–Beleskey–SpoonerHayes–Vatrano–KemppainenChara–TrotmanMiller–KrugSeidenberg–MillerSeidenberg–MillerChara–MillerChara–MillerMiller–KrugSeidenberg–TrotmanSeidenberg–KrugTrotman–KrugTrotman–Miller
McGinn–O'Reilly–Kane7:510.07–0.341:060.01–0.030:340.00–0.007:130.06–0.221:150.00–0.050:510.00–0.070:360.02–0.01
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson1:310.04–0.030:460.00–0.003:480.05–0.381:210.10–0.020:400.10–0.003:000.01–0.301:100.08–0.011:010.04–0.001:160.04–0.00
Moulson–Reinhart–Eichel2:040.08–0.001:060.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:070.08–0.000:520.00–0.021:110.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Legwand–Moulson–Schaller1:540.00–0.041:320.25–0.000:590.00–0.000:570.25–0.04
Girgensons–Reinhart–Eichel1:040.00–0.101:140.00–0.001:100.00–0.101:010.00–0.00
Legwand–Foligno–Schaller0:400.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Kane–Eichel0:490.10–0.02
McGinn–Kane–Eichel
Gionta–Foligno–Eichel0:460.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Gionta–Kane–Larsson0:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Gorges–Ristolainen8:440.08–0.390:330.00–0.001:340.01–0.152:120.10–0.076:500.15–0.351:210.00–0.061:170.08–0.000:440.00–0.090:520.03–0.001:200.00–0.07
Bogosian–McCabe0:450.02–0.014:290.10–0.145:160.01–0.280:330.00–0.003:170.08–0.362:010.02–0.023:070.10–0.012:000.00–0.000:300.01–0.000:320.00–0.020:520.00–0.001:030.02–0.01
Franson–Weber0:560.00–0.024:100.08–0.041:310.06–0.004:240.10–0.001:370.09–0.002:520.02–0.021:200.00–0.041:340.14–0.001:010.04–0.001:250.00–0.020:590.02–0.001:320.02–0.00
Bogosian–Ristolainen0:440.00–0.050:520.02–0.00
Weber–Bogosian0:510.00–0.001:000.03–0.000:340.00–0.00
McCabe–Ristolainen0:320.25–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKane FMcGinn FO'Reilly FEichel FReinhart FGirgensons FGionta FLarsson FFoligno FLegwand FMoulson FSchaller FGorges DRistolainen DMcCabe DBogosian DWeber DFranson DLehner GConnolly FBergeron FMarchand FTalbot FFerraro FRinaldo FHayes FBeleskey FSpooner FEriksson FKemppainen FVatrano FChara DTrotman DKrug DMiller DSeidenberg DMiller DGustavsson G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3025:400:511:5545
Zdeno CharaBOS3324:150:441:4765
Zach BogosianBUF3023:320:472:0553
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2821:570:471:3656
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2821:560:472:0433
Kevan MillerBOS3221:560:411:4326
Evander KaneBUF2921:520:451:5225
Jack EichelBUF2020:051:001:4363
Zach TrotmanBOS2819:250:421:1934
Jamie McGinnBUF2418:580:471:3637
Patrice BergeronBOS2418:340:461:4742
Torey KrugBOS2618:310:431:5234
Brad MarchandBOS2617:450:411:2352
Sam ReinhartBUF2117:330:501:3664
Josh GorgesBUF2517:020:411:1225
Jake McCabeBUF2416:370:421:3032
Brian GiontaBUF2216:180:441:4840
Landon FerraroBOS2215:410:431:3623
Loui ErikssonBOS2415:380:391:1373
Mike WeberBUF2015:240:461:1642
Ryan SpoonerBOS2215:200:421:2173
Johan LarssonBUF2114:530:431:4040
Max TalbotBOS2014:500:451:3623
Cody FransonBUF2114:220:411:1644
Brett ConnollyBOS2214:050:381:1550
Marcus FolignoBUF2114:030:401:3441
Matt MoulsonBUF1913:320:431:3431
Matt BeleskeyBOS1913:210:421:0363
Joonas KemppainenBOS2013:080:391:0925
Jimmy HayesBOS1712:450:451:2632
Colin MillerBOS1812:320:421:2130
Zac RinaldoBOS1812:190:411:2822
David LegwandBUF1611:010:411:1212
Tim SchallerBUF1610:400:401:0311
Frank VatranoBOS139:590:461:1521
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF43:050:461:0311