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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 16, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ovechkin–Oshie–BackstromRichards–Sill–LattaChimera–Johansson–WilsonWilliams–Kuznetsov–BurakovskyKuznetsov–Wilson–BurakovskySill–Latta–KuznetsovNiskanen–AlznerOrlov–SchmidtChorney–NessAlzner–OrlovNiskanen–NessNess–Schmidt
O'Reilly–Kane–Reinhart1:420.05–0.001:530.00–0.010:440.00–0.001:360.01–0.024:160.04–0.032:280.06–0.00
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson4:430.12–0.020:570.02–0.012:500.10–0.022:230.03–0.020:430.00–0.000:560.02–0.01
Legwand–Moulson–Schaller1:180.00–0.031:330.00–0.001:120.00–0.081:210.00–0.031:210.00–0.00
McGinn–Varone–Eichel0:390.00–0.001:050.37–0.001:140.37–0.000:540.37–0.001:210.00–0.00
Legwand–McGinn–Eichel1:070.13–0.000:360.00–0.001:130.13–0.00
McGinn–O'Reilly–Reinhart0:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
McGinn–O'Reilly–Foligno0:370.00–0.050:330.00–0.000:300.00–0.05
Gionta–Moulson–Larsson0:560.00–0.070:560.00–0.07
Legwand–Gionta–Schaller0:510.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Weber–Pysyk0:540.00–0.032:400.00–0.052:290.00–0.022:130.01–0.020:490.00–0.000:500.00–0.065:280.39–0.122:050.00–0.033:220.00–0.030:530.00–0.00
Bogosian–Ristolainen7:220.13–0.081:450.37–0.013:150.11–0.005:240.40–0.092:360.01–0.00
Franson–McCabe2:280.00–0.002:500.15–0.011:170.01–0.023:410.04–0.053:270.05–0.001:060.13–0.000:370.02–0.01
Weber–Ristolainen1:100.00–0.00
McCabe–Ristolainen0:370.00–0.050:390.00–0.000:300.00–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGionta FLarsson FFoligno FKane FReinhart FO'Reilly FEichel FLegwand FMcGinn FSchaller FVarone FMoulson FBogosian DRistolainen DMcCabe DFranson DPysyk DWeber DJohnson GOvechkin FBackstrom FOshie FWilliams FBurakovsky FKuznetsov FChimera FWilson FJohansson FRichards FLatta FSill FNiskanen DAlzner DOrlov DSchmidt DChorney DNess DHoltby GGrubauer G
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3027:270:551:3459
Matt NiskanenWSH3026:530:542:39412
Karl AlznerWSH3123:090:451:51211
Mike WeberBUF2521:470:522:1024
Zach BogosianBUF2421:290:541:5433
Alex OvechkinWSH2021:111:042:0971
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2620:480:481:5665
Evander KaneBUF2319:580:521:5934
Nicklas BackstromWSH2319:210:501:2265
Dmitry OrlovWSH2218:510:511:3630
Nate SchmidtWSH2617:390:411:1433
Brian GiontaBUF2117:380:501:4631
T.J. OshieWSH2317:350:461:1974
Johan LarssonBUF1917:100:541:2640
Sam ReinhartBUF2017:050:512:2161
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1816:170:541:1851
Jack EichelBUF1916:130:511:2951
Justin WilliamsWSH2115:540:451:1835
Marcus JohanssonWSH1815:340:521:2151
Jason ChimeraWSH2015:290:461:1035
Mark PysykBUF2115:160:441:2431
Cody FransonBUF2115:140:441:2931
Jake McCabeBUF2215:040:411:1913
David LegwandBUF1814:120:471:1923
Jamie McGinnBUF1814:000:471:5230
Mike RichardsWSH2213:010:360:5514
Aaron NessWSH1912:480:401:1620
Taylor ChorneyWSH2112:390:361:3613
Michael LattaWSH1612:030:451:0721
Marcus FolignoBUF1611:520:451:1212
Zach SillWSH1711:260:401:1322
Tom WilsonWSH1511:180:451:1016
Tim SchallerBUF1510:580:441:1812
Andre BurakovskyWSH139:450:451:1121
Matt MoulsonBUF118:100:451:0721
Phil VaroneBUF138:010:371:1411