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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 18, 2016·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Ottawa Senators 4, San Jose Sharks 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 90% of the time.

SJS winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Michalek, saved by Stalock
  3. P1 3:47Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Stalock
  4. P1 5:32Shot by Tierney, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 5:36Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 8:01Shot by Hertl, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 9:12Shot by Ward, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 10:39Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 11:12Goal by McCormick (Ceci, Neil)+21 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Brown, Dillon, DeMelo, Tierney, Karlsson · OTT Neil, Smith, Wiercioch, McCormick, Ceci

  10. P1 11:28Shot by Chiasson, saved by Stalock
  11. P1 11:43Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 12:57Shot by Pavelski, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 13:24Shot by Vlasic, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 16:53Shot by Braun, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 17:17Shot by Pavelski, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 17:24Shot by Couture, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 17:37Shot by Hoffman, saved by Stalock
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Stalock
  21. P2 3:00Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  22. P2 3:57Ward: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Ward, Dillon, DeMelo, Nieto · OTT Wiercioch, Chiasson, Pageau, Ceci, Lazar

  23. P2 4:08Goal by Ryan (Zibanejad, Karlsson)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Martin, Burns, Pavelski, Nieto · OTT Michalek, Ryan, Karlsson, Stone, Zibanejad

  24. P2 4:16Goal by Hertl (Thornton, Burns)+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Martin, Burns, Pavelski, Hertl · OTT Karlsson, Chiasson, Claesson, Pageau, Lazar

  25. P2 5:20Shot by Wideman, saved by Stalock
  26. P2 5:40Shot by Hoffman, saved by Stalock
  27. P2 6:56Shot by Tierney, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 8:56Shot by Neil, saved by Stalock
  29. P2 9:13Shot by Donskoi, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 9:36Shot by Nieto, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 9:45Shot by Ceci, saved by Stalock
  32. P2 10:20Shot by Vlasic, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 14:18Shot by Hertl, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 15:46Shot by Pageau, saved by Stalock
  35. P2 16:31Shot by Turris, saved by Stalock
  36. P2 18:33Shot by Nieto, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 19:33Shot by Donskoi, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 0:48Shot by Thornton, saved by Anderson
  41. P3 1:16Shot by Wingels, saved by Anderson
  42. P3 1:32Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson
  43. P3 2:47Goal by Couture (Ward, Vlasic)+29 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Ward, Vlasic, Couture, Dillon · OTT Michalek, Ryan, Karlsson, Claesson, Zibanejad

  44. P3 3:19Shot by Hertl, saved by Anderson
  45. P3 7:54Goal by Nieto (Donskoi, Tierney)+32 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Braun, Donskoi, Nieto, Tierney · OTT Michalek, Ryan, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Zibanejad

  46. P3 9:04Shot by Turris, saved by Stalock
  47. P3 10:00Shot by Hertl, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 10:05Shot by Thornton, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 12:05Shot by Turris, saved by Stalock
  50. P3 12:45Karlsson: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Martin, Burns, Pavelski, Nieto · OTT Turris, Smith, Karlsson, Stone, Ceci

  51. P3 12:50Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson5v4
  52. P3 14:29Burns: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)other

    On ice: SJS Ward, Burns, Vlasic, Donskoi, Hertl · OTT Smith, Wiercioch, Borowiecki, Zibanejad

  53. P3 14:29Goal by Smith, unassistedother+27 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Ward, Burns, Vlasic, Donskoi, Hertl · OTT Smith, Wiercioch, Borowiecki, Zibanejad

  54. P3 0:00Period end
  55. OT 0:00Period start
  56. OT 1:57Shot by Stone, saved by Stalock3v3
  57. OT 2:53Shot by Pavelski, saved by Anderson3v3
  58. OT 3:04Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson3v3
  59. OT 3:08Ryan: Tripping (2 min)3v3

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Pageau

  60. OT 4:34Shot by Couture, saved by Anderson4v3
  61. OT 4:58Shot by Ward, saved by Anderson4v3
  62. OT 4:57Shot by Ward, saved by Anderson4v3
  63. OT 5:00Shot by Burns, saved by Anderson4v3
  64. OT 5:00Period end
  65. SO Period start
  66. SO Shot by Pavelski, saved by Andersonother
  67. SO Shot by Ryan, saved by Stalockother
  68. SO Shot by Donskoi, saved by Andersonother
  69. SO Goal by Zibanejad, unassistedother
  70. SO Shot by Couture, saved by Andersonother
  71. SO Period end
  72. SO Final