Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 2, 2016·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Ottawa Senators 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.

PIT winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:15Shot by Cullen, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 2:44Shot by Cullen, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 4:23Shot by Malkin, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 6:59Shot by Cullen, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 7:01Goal by Cullen (Hagelin, Dumoulin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · OTT Neil, Smith, Cowen, McCormick, Ceci

  8. P1 7:47Shot by Maatta, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 9:24Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 10:52Shot by Kunitz, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 10:54Goal by Letang (Crosby, Kunitz)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Zibanejad

  12. P1 11:12Shot by Hagelin, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 11:29Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 13:33Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 14:08Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 14:27Shot by Smith, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 14:50Goal by Stone (Smith, Pageau)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Fehr, Letang, Rust, Kuhnhackl, Maatta · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Stone, Pageau

  18. P1 15:24Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 15:50Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 16:17Goal by Kunitz, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta · OTT Ryan, Hoffman, Cowen, Wideman, Zibanejad

  21. P1 18:10Shot by Kunitz, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 19:29Goal by Wideman (Stone)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin · OTT Smith, Cowen, Wideman, Stone, Pageau

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:25Shot by Kunitz, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 2:27Cowen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Fehr, Lovejoy, Dumoulin, Rust, Kuhnhackl · OTT Cowen, Wideman, Dziurzynski, McCormick, Lazar

  27. P2 2:27Kuhnhackl: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Fehr, Lovejoy, Dumoulin, Rust, Kuhnhackl · OTT Cowen, Wideman, Dziurzynski, McCormick, Lazar

  28. P2 2:37Shot by Pageau, saved by Fleury4v4
  29. P2 3:01Goal by Pageau (Karlsson, Wiercioch)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Kessel, Dumoulin · OTT Karlsson, Wiercioch, Stone, Pageau

  30. P2 3:24Shot by Smith, saved by Fleury4v4
  31. P2 3:25Goal by Ceci (Smith, Hoffman)4v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hagelin, Maatta · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Ceci

  32. P2 3:39Shot by Smith, saved by Fleury4v4
  33. P2 5:12Shot by Pageau, saved by Fleury
  34. P2 5:27Dziurzynski: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Fehr, Letang, Rust, Wilson, Maatta · OTT Chiasson, Cowen, Wideman, Dziurzynski, McCormick

  35. P2 6:10Goal by Crosby (Letang, Malkin)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · OTT Borowiecki, Stone, Pageau, Ceci

  36. P2 7:25Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 7:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 8:22Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 8:29Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 8:35Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 9:37Shot by Prince, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 9:47Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 9:55Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 10:00Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 10:47Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 12:13Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 13:15Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 13:16Shot by Ryan, saved by Fleury
  49. P2 13:17Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Fleury
  50. P2 14:55Shot by Porter, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 15:26Borowiecki: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Stone, Pageau

  52. P2 15:44Shot by Malkin, saved by Anderson5v4
  53. P2 16:22Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson5v4
  54. P2 16:45Goal by Crosby (Kessel, Malkin)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Chiasson

  55. P2 19:08Malkin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta · OTT Neil, Borowiecki, McCormick, Prince, Ceci

  56. P2 19:22Shot by Pageau, saved by Fleury4v5
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 1:24Shot by Karlsson, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 2:00Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 3:33Shot by McCormick, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 3:46Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 3:54Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 6:40Goal by Crosby (Kunitz, Hornqvist)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Wideman, Stone, Pageau

  65. P3 6:47Neil: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Porter, Dumoulin, Wilson · OTT Neil, Wiercioch, McCormick, Prince, Ceci

  66. P3 7:22Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson5v4
  67. P3 7:35Shot by Malkin, saved by Anderson5v4
  68. P3 8:12Borowiecki: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · OTT Karlsson, Borowiecki, Stone, Pageau

  69. P3 8:10Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson5v4
  70. P3 8:40Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson5v3
  71. P3 8:41Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson5v3
  72. P3 9:19Shot by Pouliot, saved by Anderson5v4
  73. P3 9:34Shot by Cullen, saved by Anderson5v4
  74. P3 12:50Shot by Hagelin, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 13:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Fleury
  76. P3 15:50Goal by Dziurzynski (Ceci, Lazar)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Kessel, Lovejoy, Hagelin · OTT Wiercioch, Chiasson, Dziurzynski, Ceci, Lazar

  77. P3 16:41Zibanejad: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Dumoulin, Rust, Kuhnhackl · OTT Ryan, Wiercioch, Hoffman, Zibanejad, Ceci

  78. P3 18:29Kunitz: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Kunitz, Kessel, Dumoulin · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Lazar

  79. P3 18:46Shot by Ryan, saved by Fleury4v5
  80. P3 19:47Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury4v5
  81. P3 19:59Shot by Karlsson, saved by Fleury4v5
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final