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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 2, 2016·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Ottawa Senators 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.

PIT winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Stone–PageauRyan–Hoffman–ZibanejadChiasson–Dziurzynski–LazarNeil–McCormick–PrinceChiasson–Dziurzynski–McCormickDziurzynski–Stone–PageauNeil–Prince–LazarKarlsson–BorowieckiWiercioch–CeciCowen–WidemanKarlsson–WierciochKarlsson–CowenKarlsson–WidemanCowen–CeciBorowiecki–WidemanKarlsson–Ceci
Kunitz–Crosby–Hornqvist1:140.14–0.006:500.87–0.011:170.04–0.001:100.00–0.000:400.00–0.003:190.49–0.003:140.25–0.000:560.07–0.011:590.06–0.001:380.14–0.000:380.06–0.000:320.04–0.00
Malkin–Kessel–Hagelin5:410.20–0.060:470.09–0.520:490.09–0.090:310.08–0.000:510.09–0.001:350.06–0.004:320.09–0.571:500.34–0.093:340.11–0.010:360.06–0.00
Fehr–Rust–Kuhnhackl1:570.00–0.152:430.15–0.000:510.00–0.003:110.10–0.151:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:320.06–0.00
Cullen–Porter–Wilson0:500.00–0.001:040.03–0.001:440.31–0.111:110.20–0.002:240.47–0.000:400.04–0.110:430.02–0.000:480.00–0.00
Cullen–Rust–Kuhnhackl0:420.00–0.001:530.00–0.001:180.15–0.000:390.04–0.020:480.04–0.021:280.08–0.000:320.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Letang–Maatta5:390.32–0.145:270.67–0.010:480.13–0.000:550.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:430.00–0.005:500.47–0.143:110.28–0.001:490.09–0.011:160.00–0.001:540.22–0.000:410.06–0.00
Daley–Dumoulin2:350.02–0.042:470.06–0.003:130.24–0.071:470.27–0.001:100.09–0.000:330.00–0.003:370.11–0.044:010.35–0.071:360.09–0.001:140.06–0.000:460.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:580.35–0.001:290.06–0.00
Lovejoy–Pouliot1:340.00–0.031:400.14–0.133:040.09–0.001:560.12–0.111:330.20–0.002:050.00–0.033:030.51–0.003:130.04–0.241:020.00–0.001:030.08–0.000:460.00–0.00
Lovejoy–Dumoulin0:310.04–0.02
Daley–Pouliot0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHagelin FMalkin FKessel FKunitz FHornqvist FCrosby FFehr FRust FKuhnhackl FCullen FPorter FWilson FDaley DDumoulin DMaatta DLetang DLovejoy DPouliot DFleury GSmith FPageau FStone FRyan FHoffman FZibanejad FLazar FChiasson FDziurzynski FPrince FNeil FMcCormick FKarlsson DBorowiecki DCeci DWiercioch DCowen DWideman DAnderson G
PITOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3131:541:022:3048
Kris LetangPIT2925:030:522:0673
Brian DumoulinPIT3021:500:441:2513
Sidney CrosbyPIT2721:330:481:5575
Mark StoneOTT2921:020:441:3449
Cody CeciOTT2619:560:461:2427
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2819:480:421:3149
Trevor DaleyPIT2619:370:451:3241
Evgeni MalkinPIT2519:130:461:5590
Phil KesselPIT2319:000:501:5590
Olli MaattaPIT2818:570:411:2164
Patrick WierciochOTT2718:340:411:3314
Patric HornqvistPIT2317:280:461:5562
Bobby RyanOTT2016:520:512:0951
Matt CullenPIT2316:430:441:2531
Chris KunitzPIT2316:420:441:1344
Jared CowenOTT2416:380:421:1617
Mark BorowieckiOTT2616:250:381:0815
Ben LovejoyPIT2316:220:431:2503
Zack SmithOTT2616:090:371:0439
Carl HagelinPIT2216:070:441:2851
Mika ZibanejadOTT2115:390:451:1643
Mike HoffmanOTT1915:060:481:3141
Curtis LazarOTT2214:560:411:1223
Alex ChiassonOTT2314:340:381:0405
Derrick PouliotPIT1814:140:471:3211
Bryan RustPIT1813:160:441:1113
Tom KuhnhacklPIT1913:150:421:1113
Chris WidemanOTT2213:110:361:0152
Dave DziurzynskiOTT2012:140:371:1202
Kevin PorterPIT149:580:431:1611
Shane PrinceOTT139:290:441:1611
Chris NeilOTT149:290:411:2411
Max McCormickOTT158:140:331:2412
Eric FehrPIT117:450:421:1113
Scott WilsonPIT147:260:320:5510