Thu, Feb 4, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
New Jersey Devils 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
49%
9%
10%
32%
TOR winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:47 | 0.03 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:38 | 0.04 | 11.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22:02 | 0.17 | 38.5% | +50.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.02 | 21.9% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.17 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:01 | 0.60 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:51 | 0.09 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.15 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.09 | 35.9% | +31.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:46 | 0.17 | 51.6% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.08 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.03 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.02 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.02 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.08 | 58.9% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:59 | 0.20 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:58 | 0.42 | 91.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 3.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 39 | 37 | 2 | .949 | 2.82 | +0.8 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 24:51 | 0.19 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:08 | 0.10 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.18 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:42 | 0.19 | 38.4% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:23 | 0.55 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.04 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:26 | 0.18 | 88.1% | +63.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:18 | 0.17 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.11 | 86.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.14 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.31 | 91.6% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:05 | 0.03 | 16.7% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.09 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.02 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 10:50 | 0.16 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.36 | 38.5% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:10 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.37 | +0.4 | 64:36 |