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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 12, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 6

Away

Montréal Canadiens

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 1:41Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 3:21Shot by Reinhart, saved by Scrivens
  6. P1 3:44Goal by Andrighetto (Pacioretty, Desharnais)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Bogosian, Kane, Reinhart, Eichel · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Andrighetto

  7. P1 5:15Shot by Varone, saved by Scrivens
  8. P1 5:28Shot by Gallagher, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 5:46Shot by Barberio, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 5:58Shot by Kane, saved by Scrivens
  11. P1 8:00Shot by Plekanec, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 8:31Subban: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  13. P1 10:03Shot by Bogosian, saved by Scrivens5v4
  14. P1 11:13Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 12:50Goal by Legwand (Deslauriers, Bogosian)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, Franson, Deslauriers, Reinhart · MTL Fleischmann, Emelin, Eller, Weise, Barberio

  16. P1 15:28Bogosian: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  17. P1 17:34Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Johnson
  18. P1 17:36Shot by Gallagher, saved by Johnson
  19. P1 19:02Shot by Subban, saved by Johnson
  20. P1 19:21Shot by Foligno, saved by Scrivens
  21. P1 19:42Goal by Kane (Foligno, O'Reilly)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Foligno, Ristolainen · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Andrighetto

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:09Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  25. P2 1:28Goal by Gorges (McGinn, Eichel)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, McGinn, Ristolainen, Eichel · MTL Fleischmann, Gilbert, Byron, Eller, Barberio

  26. P2 2:18Goal by Foligno (Varone)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Varone, McCabe · MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Andrighetto

  27. P2 2:46Kane: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  28. P2 2:46Subban: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  29. P2 2:58Bailey: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, McCabe, Bailey, Eichel · MTL Gilbert, Byron, Eller, Barberio

  30. P2 3:24Shot by Desharnais, saved by Johnson3v4
  31. P2 4:47Goal by Galchenyuk (Markov, Desharnais)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Bogosian, Kane, McCabe · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  32. P2 6:48Goal by Andrighetto, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Andrighetto

  33. P2 7:39Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 8:02Shot by Bogosian, saved by Condon
  35. P2 8:22Shot by Bailey, saved by Condon
  36. P2 9:11Shot by Gallagher, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 9:16Shot by Gallagher, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 10:19Shot by Bailey, saved by Condon
  39. P2 12:14Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 12:32Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 13:56Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Johnson
  42. P2 14:06Shot by Weise, saved by Johnson
  43. P2 14:45Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon
  44. P2 14:48Plekanec: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart · MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Pateryn, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  45. P2 15:50Shot by Kane, saved by Condon5v4
  46. P2 15:55Shot by Kane, saved by Condon5v4
  47. P2 17:41Goal by Foligno, unassistedother+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Deslauriers, Varone, McCabe · MTL Plekanec, Gilbert, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  48. P2 18:08Shot by Gionta, saved by Condon
  49. P2 17:39Shot by Foligno, saved by Condon
  50. P2 18:40Deslauriers: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, Franson, Deslauriers, Bailey · MTL Mitchell, Subban, Weise, Pateryn, Smith-Pelly

  51. P2 19:38Goal by Galchenyuk (Markov, Subban)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:23Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Condon
  55. P3 0:27Shot by Bogosian, saved by Condon
  56. P3 0:29Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon
  57. P3 2:26Shot by Gallagher, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 3:43Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Johnson
  59. P3 6:37Shot by Subban, saved by Johnson
  60. P3 9:59Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Johnson
  61. P3 16:17Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  62. P3 16:45Shot by Plekanec, saved by Johnson
  63. P3 18:14Shot by Barberio, saved by Johnson
  64. P3 19:05Goal by Kane (O'Reilly)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  65. P3 19:05Subban: Misconduct (10 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final