Fri, Feb 12, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.
40%
9%
10%
41%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26:17 | 0.01 | 32.4% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.11 | 28.3% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.00 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:44 | 0.44 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.18 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.46 | 48.9% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.07 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:58 | 0.42 | 51.7% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:29 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.04 | 69.9% | +27.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.10 | 52.6% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 14:30 | 0.55 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.16 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.02 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.07 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:23 | 0.03 | 89.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 13 | 11 | 2 | .846 | 1.37 | −0.6 | 37:47 | |
| – | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 0.51 | −2.5 | 21:28 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 26:21 | 0.05 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.09 | 40.4% | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:27 | 0.98 | 48.0% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.04 | 58.3% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.03 | 53.0% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.17 | 43.0% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:48 | 0.44 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.00 | 51.0% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.00 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:44 | 0.11 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.05 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 12:43 | 0.48 | 53.5% | +41.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.04 | 38.2% | +7.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.07 | 22.5% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 58.3% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:21 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.66 | −1.3 | 60:00 |