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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 12, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsMTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Plekanec–Gallagher–GalchenyukDesharnais–Pacioretty–AndrighettoFleischmann–Byron–EllerMitchell–Weise–Smith-PellyFleischmann–Eller–WeiseMitchell–Byron–Smith-PellyMarkov–SubbanGilbert–BarberioEmelin–PaterynEmelin–Barberio
O'Reilly–Kane–Reinhart6:510.50–0.032:340.08–0.150:560.00–0.130:440.00–0.007:200.35–0.163:290.02–0.150:450.25–0.26
McGinn–Bailey–Eichel1:440.07–0.023:130.00–0.071:170.09–0.021:190.01–0.102:070.10–0.123:130.27–0.002:370.00–0.184:060.00–0.16
Gionta–Foligno–Varone0:520.00–0.002:210.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:440.00–0.330:480.00–0.001:480.00–0.002:560.13–0.33
Legwand–Moulson–Deslauriers0:480.00–0.041:190.00–0.000:540.00–0.002:000.00–0.021:080.00–0.00
Foligno–Varone–Bailey0:570.00–0.060:570.00–0.060:550.00–0.00
Gionta–Kane–Varone0:580.00–0.260:580.00–0.26
Gorges–Ristolainen2:020.00–0.2610:060.26–0.392:170.09–0.000:540.00–0.001:050.10–0.000:370.00–0.007:070.34–0.225:540.10–0.434:430.05–0.020:350.00–0.00
Bogosian–McCabe10:030.90–0.231:570.06–0.041:060.00–0.050:330.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:330.00–0.027:540.37–0.114:480.01–0.133:570.42–0.36
Colaiacovo–Franson1:030.00–0.000:340.00–0.003:230.09–0.173:170.00–0.100:430.07–0.331:210.00–0.002:180.09–0.004:390.00–0.252:500.00–0.35
Colaiacovo–Ristolainen0:390.00–0.121:020.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKane FReinhart FO'Reilly FEichel FBailey FMcGinn FGionta FFoligno FVarone FLegwand FMoulson FDeslauriers FMcCabe DBogosian DGorges DRistolainen DColaiacovo DFranson DJohnson GGallagher FPlekanec FGalchenyuk FAndrighetto FDesharnais FPacioretty FWeise FEller FFleischmann FMitchell FSmith-Pelly FByron FSubban DMarkov DBarberio DGilbert DPateryn DEmelin DScrivens GCondon G
BUFMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3426:210:471:31210
Andrei MarkovMTL2826:170:561:4994
P.K. SubbanMTL2723:310:521:5464
Josh GorgesBUF3122:500:441:2909
Evander KaneBUF2721:270:482:0224
Zach BogosianBUF3521:220:371:2352
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2521:130:512:1816
Jake McCabeBUF3420:570:371:0942
Jack EichelBUF2420:050:501:2342
Sam ReinhartBUF2519:480:482:1113
Tom GilbertMTL2719:100:431:1925
Brendan GallagherMTL2618:440:431:1561
Tomas PlekanecMTL2618:330:431:0661
Alex GalchenyukMTL2518:330:451:2261
Mark BarberioMTL2218:060:491:1933
Max PaciorettyMTL2517:580:431:18101
Alexei EmelinMTL2517:290:421:1012
David DesharnaisMTL2417:070:431:1690
Sven AndrighettoMTL2215:550:431:1880
Jamie McGinnBUF2015:390:471:2332
Lars EllerMTL2214:300:401:1604
Tomas FleischmannMTL2014:250:431:2212
Cody FransonBUF2114:140:411:2350
Greg PaterynMTL1913:480:441:0810
Justin BaileyBUF1813:440:461:2332
Brian GiontaBUF1813:130:441:1522
Marcus FolignoBUF1812:430:421:1213
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF1812:090:411:1641
Paul ByronMTL2211:400:320:5606
Torrey MitchellMTL1711:150:401:0915
Phil VaroneBUF1510:400:431:2912
David LegwandBUF1510:240:421:3023
Dale WeiseMTL129:210:471:0131
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF159:030:361:1121
Devante Smith-PellyMTL128:230:420:5512
Matt MoulsonBUF117:210:401:0621