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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 14, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Boston Bruins 5, Detroit Red Wings 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 84% of the time.

DET winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:08Goal by Marchand (Connolly)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Smith, Tatar, Marchenko, Larkin · BOS Marchand, Spooner, Connolly, Miller, Krug

  2. P1 0:00Period start
  3. P1 2:44Goal by Zetterberg (Abdelkader, DeKeyser)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, DeKeyser · BOS Chara, Eriksson, Krejci, Hayes, Trotman

  4. P1 0:48Shot by Hayes, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 2:58Goal by Trotman, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Helm, Sheahan, Glendening, DeKeyser · BOS Chara, Marchand, Spooner, Connolly, Trotman

  6. P1 4:55Shot by Smith, saved by Rask
  7. P1 8:35Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 9:20Chara: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Helm, Smith, Glendening · BOS Chara, Talbot, Eriksson, Ferraro, Trotman

  9. P1 9:31Mrazek: Delaying game illegal play by goalie (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader · BOS Seidenberg, Krejci, Marchand, Miller

  10. P1 12:59Goal by Eriksson (Krejci, Hayes)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, DeKeyser · BOS Chara, Eriksson, Krejci, Hayes, Trotman

  11. P1 13:05Shot by Miller, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 14:05Shot by Larkin, saved by Rask
  13. P1 14:46Goal by Datsyuk (Abdelkader, Richards)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader · BOS Chara, Eriksson, Miller, Kemppainen

  14. P1 15:18Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rask
  15. P1 17:25Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Rask
  16. P1 17:26Miller: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Smith · BOS Seidenberg, Beleskey, Miller, Pastrnak, Kemppainen

  17. P1 14:45Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Rask5v4
  18. P1 17:45Shot by Tatar, saved by Rask5v4
  19. P1 18:43Shot by Richards, saved by Rask5v4
  20. P1 14:24Marchand: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Tatar, Marchenko, Ouellet, Larkin · BOS Marchand, Spooner, Connolly, Miller, Krug

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:52Shot by Quincey, saved by Rask
  24. P2 0:58Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Rask
  25. P2 3:03Shot by Jurco, saved by Rask
  26. P2 3:13Goal by Helm (Ouellet, Marchenko)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Sheahan, Marchenko, Ouellet, Glendening · BOS Chara, Talbot, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Trotman

  27. P2 3:53Shot by Marchenko, saved by Rask
  28. P2 4:19Abdelkader: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Sheahan, Marchenko, Ouellet, Glendening · BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Hayes, Spooner, Miller

  29. P2 4:19Miller: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Sheahan, Marchenko, Ouellet, Glendening · BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Hayes, Spooner, Miller

  30. P2 4:41Eriksson: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Green, Smith, Nyquist, Larkin · BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Spooner, Trotman

  31. P2 5:00Shot by Richards, saved by Rask4v3
  32. P2 5:17Shot by Richards, saved by Rask4v3
  33. P2 5:47Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rask4v3
  34. P2 6:01Shot by Green, saved by Rask4v3
  35. P2 6:38Goal by Datsyuk (Richards, Zetterberg)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader · BOS Chara, Seidenberg, Krejci, Miller

  36. P2 8:40Shot by Tatar, saved by Rask
  37. P2 9:28Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rask
  38. P2 9:38Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Rask
  39. P2 9:44Shot by Smith, saved by Rask
  40. P2 10:07Shot by Hayes, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 11:01Goal by Helm (Marchenko, Quincey)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Helm, Sheahan, Marchenko, Glendening · BOS Chara, Talbot, Eriksson, Hayes, Miller

  42. P2 11:23Goal by Seidenberg (Spooner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Smith, Jurco, Athanasiou, Larkin · BOS Seidenberg, Marchand, Spooner, Connolly, Miller

  43. P2 12:37Shot by Chara, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 13:01Shot by Trotman, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 14:18Shot by Talbot, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 16:52Richards: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Green, Smith, Tatar, Larkin · BOS Seidenberg, Beleskey, Miller, Pastrnak, Kemppainen

  47. P2 16:36Shot by Tatar, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P2 17:27Shot by Spooner, saved by Mrazek4v5
  49. P2 19:48Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P2 19:48Rinaldo: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Ouellet · BOS Seidenberg, Talbot, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Miller

  51. P2 19:57Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:38Goal by Kemppainen (Marchand, Krejci)5v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader · BOS Chara, Marchand, Miller, Kemppainen

  55. P3 2:20Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P3 6:22Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Mrazek
  57. P3 7:33Shot by Quincey, saved by Gustavsson
  58. P3 7:37Goal by DeKeyser (Datsyuk)+32 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, DeKeyser · BOS Chara, Eriksson, Krejci, Hayes, Trotman

  59. P3 8:14Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P3 8:36Shot by Hayes, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 11:30Shot by Spooner, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 12:08Shot by Krejci, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 12:12Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Mrazek
  64. P3 13:54Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gustavsson
  65. P3 14:17Shot by Eriksson, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 14:50Shot by Sheahan, saved by Gustavsson
  67. P3 15:00Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 15:43Shot by Richards, saved by Gustavsson
  69. P3 16:06Shot by Marchand, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 16:32Shot by Helm, saved by Gustavsson
  71. P3 16:48Shot by Spooner, saved by Mrazek
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final