Mon, Feb 15, 2016·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Montréal Canadiens 2, Arizona Coyotes 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 16 | 18 | 05 | 219 |
| ARI | 28 | 311 | 18 | 627 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:47ARIMartin HanzalAssists: Michael Stone, Anthony Duclair · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 9:02MTLDale WeiseAssists: Jacob de la Rose, Torrey Mitchell · Snap, 0.13 xG1–1
- P1 15:48ARIAnthony DuclairPPAssists: Martin Hanzal, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–2
- P2 8:04ARIBrad RichardsonGWGAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Tobias Rieder · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–3
- P2 10:06MTLBrendan GallagherAssists: Nathan Beaulieu · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P2 11:52ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Max Domi, Martin Hanzal · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–4
- P2 15:38ARIKevin ConnautonAssists: Kyle Chipchura, Tyler Gaudet · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–5
- P3 4:19ARIAntoine VermetteAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Zbynek Michalek · Backhand, 0.08 xG2–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 14:15MTLDavid Desharnais: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 17:11MTLP.K. Subban: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:27ARIBrad Richardson: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:40ARIMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:40ARIMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:40MTLGreg Pateryn: Cross checking5 min · PPG
- P2 7:40MTLGreg Pateryn: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 4:59ARIMax Domi: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:59MTLBrendan Gallagher: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Plekanec
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestDesharnais – Pacioretty – Andrighetto8:21
xG 0.57–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Fleischmann – Byron – Eller6:55
xG 0.32–0.13 (72%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Weise – de la Rose8:54
xG 0.34–0.17 (67%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Byron – Pacioretty – Eller2:06
xG 0.00–0.23 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMarkov – Subban10:04
xG 0.42–0.15 (74%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Gilbert – Beaulieu11:20
xG 0.48–0.23 (68%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Markov – Emelin2:28
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Boedker – Martinook8:59
xG 0.46–0.25 (65%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Doan – Chipchura – Gaudet4:16
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Hanzal – Duclair – Domi9:38
xG 0.51–0.45 (53%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Doan – Richardson – Rieder12:46
xG 0.23–0.33 (41%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Dahlbeck11:20
xG 0.37–0.13 (74%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Michalek – Tinordi4:15
xG 0.13–0.12 (52%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Stone – Tinordi6:54
xG 0.26–0.26 (51%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).