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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 16, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 1, Ottawa Senators 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:26Shot by Legwand, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:27Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Phaneuf, Ceci, Paul, Lazar · BUF Legwand, Bogosian, Deslauriers, McCabe, Bailey

  4. P1 2:27Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Phaneuf, Ceci, Paul, Lazar · BUF Legwand, Bogosian, Deslauriers, McCabe, Bailey

  5. P1 3:20Shot by Gorges, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 3:28Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 4:51Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 4:58Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 5:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 5:05Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 6:01Goal by Moulson (Eichel, Girgensons)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Lazar · BUF Moulson, Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe, Eichel

  12. P1 6:56Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 7:10Goal by Dzingel (Wiercioch, Wideman)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Wiercioch, Chiasson, Wideman, Dzingel, Zibanejad · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  14. P1 10:40Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 11:52Gorges: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman · BUF Gorges, Moulson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel

  16. P1 12:02Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson5v4
  17. P1 12:59Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner5v4
  18. P1 14:40Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 15:27Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 15:30Karlsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Karlsson, Chiasson, Dzingel, Zibanejad · BUF Gorges, Franson, Larsson, Girgensons, Bailey

  21. P1 15:35Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson4v5
  22. P1 17:11Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson4v5
  23. P1 17:23Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson4v5
  24. P1 17:32Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 17:43Shot by Pysyk, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 19:56Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:14Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 2:16Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 2:59Shot by Lazar, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 3:02Shot by Paul, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 4:16Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 5:07Shot by McGinn, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 6:27Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 7:08Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 7:33Shot by Franson, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 7:57Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 8:21Stone: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Stone, Pageau · BUF Moulson, Franson, O'Reilly, Pysyk, Girgensons, Eichel

  40. P2 8:38Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson4v5
  41. P2 9:18Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson4v5
  42. P2 9:36Shot by McGinn, saved by Anderson4v5
  43. P2 10:20Shot by Pysyk, saved by Anderson4v5
  44. P2 11:01Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 11:37Franson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Phaneuf, Ryan, Ceci, Paul, Lazar · BUF Legwand, Franson, Deslauriers, Pysyk, Bailey

  46. P2 12:35Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner5v4
  47. P2 13:56Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 14:16Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 14:48Shot by Girgensons, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 15:25Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 15:53Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner
  52. P2 16:12Shot by McGinn, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 17:14Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Lehner
  54. P2 18:10Shot by Franson, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 18:23Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  56. P2 18:36Shot by Bailey, saved by Anderson
  57. P2 19:28Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lehner
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 1:31Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 1:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 11:26Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 11:27Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 12:20Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 12:34Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 12:35Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 15:39Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 16:03Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 17:12Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 0:08Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson3v3
  74. OT 1:12Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner3v3
  75. OT 2:48Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson3v3
  76. OT 2:56Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson3v3
  77. OT 4:23Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner3v3
  78. OT 4:42Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson3v3
  79. OT 5:00Period end
  80. SO Period start
  81. SO Goal by Ryan, unassistedother
  82. SO Goal by Turris, unassistedother
  83. SO Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersonother
  84. SO Period end
  85. SO Final