Tue, Feb 16, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Ottawa Senators 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
11%
43%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27:01 | 0.15 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:07 | 0.14 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:00 | 0.25 | 38.9% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:21 | 0.10 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.03 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:38 | 0.24 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.15 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.26 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.24 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.02 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.12 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.02 | 39.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.14 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.06 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.39 | 44.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:41 | 0.07 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:27 | 0.06 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.02 | 59.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.23 | +1.2 | 64:58 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 32:02 | 0.27 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:59 | 0.06 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:57 | 0.05 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.35 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.03 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:58 | 0.35 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.00 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.26 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.00 | 9.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.31 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:47 | 0.04 | 79.9% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.09 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.15 | 27.4% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.04 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.23 | 89.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 75.7% | +20.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 2.46 | +1.5 | 64:49 |