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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 18, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Rangers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.

TOR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Shot by Spaling, saved by Raanta
  3. P1 3:31Shot by Kreider, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 3:40Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 3:58Goal by Parenteau (Marincin, Loov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Marincin, Arcobello, Loov · NYR Girardi, Stalberg, McDonagh, Lindberg, Hayes

  6. P1 5:00Shot by Komarov, saved by Raanta
  7. P1 6:36Shot by Greening, saved by Raanta
  8. P1 8:17Shot by Kadri, saved by Raanta
  9. P1 9:13Shot by Arcobello, saved by Raanta
  10. P1 9:39Lindberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Polak, Greening, Marincin, Arcobello · NYR Klein, Yandle, Stalberg, Lindberg, Hayes

  11. P1 10:40Shot by Gardiner, saved by Raanta5v4
  12. P1 12:05Shot by Grabner, saved by Raanta
  13. P1 12:32Shot by Grabner, saved by Raanta
  14. P1 13:31Shot by Arcobello, saved by Raanta
  15. P1 13:49Shot by Klein, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 14:02Shot by Boyes, saved by Raanta
  17. P1 15:10Shot by Glass, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 15:54Shot by Corrado, saved by Raanta
  19. P1 16:25Shot by Polak, saved by Raanta
  20. P1 17:13Shot by Stalberg, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 18:58Komarov: Match penatly 10 minutes (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin · NYR Klein, McDonagh, Stepan, Lindberg, Fast

  22. P1 18:58Klein: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin · NYR Klein, McDonagh, Stepan, Lindberg, Fast

  23. P1 19:42Shot by Girardi, saved by Bernier4v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:28Shot by Grabner, saved by Raanta4v5
  27. P2 3:32Spaling: High sticking double minor (4 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Polak, Winnik, Spaling, Corrado · NYR Yandle, Brassard, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello

  28. P2 3:56Goal by Brassard (Yandle, Miller)3v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Grabner, Marincin · NYR Yandle, Brassard, Stepan, Kreider, Miller

  29. P2 4:12Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Bernier4v5
  30. P2 5:12Shot by Froese, saved by Raanta4v5
  31. P2 5:29Shot by Rielly, saved by Raanta4v5
  32. P2 8:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Raanta
  33. P2 9:21Shot by Stepan, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 9:24Goal by Zuccarello (Stepan, Miller)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Grabner, Kadri, Corrado, Rielly · NYR Klein, Staal, Stepan, Zuccarello, Miller

  35. P2 11:59Kreider: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Marincin, Arcobello, Rielly · NYR Paille, Yandle, Girardi, Stalberg, Hayes

  36. P2 13:14Shot by Corrado, saved by Raanta5v4
  37. P2 14:59Shot by Kadri, saved by Raanta
  38. P2 15:30Shot by Stepan, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 15:40Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 16:37Shot by Holland, saved by Raanta
  41. P2 17:19Shot by Parenteau, saved by Raanta
  42. P2 17:19Lindberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Arcobello, Corrado, Rielly · NYR Yandle, Girardi, Stalberg, Lindberg, Hayes

  43. P2 19:09Shot by Arcobello, saved by Raanta5v4
  44. P2 19:21Shot by Greening, saved by Raanta
  45. P2 19:27Shot by Parenteau, saved by Raanta
  46. P2 19:51Shot by Yandle, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:24Shot by Rielly, saved by Raanta
  50. P3 0:34Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 1:00Shot by Winnik, saved by Raanta
  52. P3 1:06Shot by Gardiner, saved by Raanta
  53. P3 1:38Staal: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Spaling, Holland, Marincin, Loov · NYR Boyle, Moore, Paille, Glass, Staal

  54. P3 1:56Shot by Rielly, saved by Raanta5v4
  55. P3 2:27Shot by Parenteau, saved by Raanta5v4
  56. P3 2:38Shot by Stalberg, saved by Bernier5v4
  57. P3 2:41Shot by Stalberg, saved by Bernier5v4
  58. P3 5:20Shot by Arcobello, saved by Raanta
  59. P3 5:35Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 5:59Shot by Holland, saved by Raanta
  61. P3 6:21Yandle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Winnik, Spaling, Rielly, Loov · NYR Yandle, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Fast

  62. P3 6:29Shot by Stepan, saved by Bernier5v4
  63. P3 12:04Shot by Greening, saved by Raanta
  64. P3 13:28Shot by Kadri, saved by Raanta
  65. P3 15:52Shot by Arcobello, saved by Raanta
  66. P3 17:30Shot by Boyes, saved by Raanta6v5
  67. P3 17:30Goal by Greening (Boyes, Arcobello)6v5+43 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Greening, Gardiner, Arcobello, Rielly · NYR Boyle, Moore, Staal, Stalberg, Hayes

  68. P3 18:29Goal by Stepan (Zuccarello, Miller)+45 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Kadri, Holland, Corrado, Rielly · NYR Klein, Staal, Stepan, Zuccarello, Miller

  69. P3 19:40Goal by Brassard (Zuccarello)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Gardiner, Kadri, Arcobello, Corrado · NYR Staal, Girardi, Brassard, Zuccarello, Miller

  70. P3 19:49Shot by Loov, saved by Raanta
  71. P3 0:00Moore: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Clune, Froese, Marincin, Loov · NYR Moore, Paille, Klein, Glass, Yandle

  72. P3 0:00Glass: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Clune, Froese, Marincin, Loov · NYR Moore, Paille, Klein, Glass, Yandle

  73. P3 0:00Clune: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Clune, Froese, Marincin, Loov · NYR Moore, Paille, Klein, Glass, Yandle

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final