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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 21, 2016·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Colorado Avalanche 1, Vancouver Canucks 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.

VAN winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:24Shot by Holden, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:45Shot by Dorsett, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:07Shot by Duchene, saved by Miller
  6. P1 3:36Shot by Sedin, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 3:43Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 3:49Shot by Sedin, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 6:04Shot by Wagner, saved by Miller
  10. P1 8:31Goal by Cracknell (Etem, Dorsett)+16 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Cracknell, Dorsett, Bartkowski, Etem · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  11. P1 8:31Dorsett: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Cracknell, Dorsett, Bartkowski, Etem · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  12. P1 8:31Beauchemin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Cracknell, Dorsett, Bartkowski, Etem · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  13. P1 8:31Dorsett: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Cracknell, Dorsett, Bartkowski, Etem · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  14. P1 8:31Beauchemin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Cracknell, Dorsett, Bartkowski, Etem · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  15. P1 9:55Shot by Sedin, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 12:21Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Miller
  17. P1 12:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller
  18. P1 13:07Sedin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Hansen, Bartkowski · COL Tanguay, Holden, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  19. P1 14:30Shot by Horvat, saved by Varlamov4v5
  20. P1 14:53Shot by Soderberg, saved by Miller4v5
  21. P1 17:58Shot by Mitchell, saved by Miller
  22. P1 18:21Shot by Soderberg, saved by Miller
  23. P1 18:46Goal by Hansen (Sedin, Sedin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Tanev, Hutton · COL Iginla, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko

  24. P1 19:57Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P1 14:52Shot by Soderberg, saved by Miller4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:09Shot by Holden, saved by Miller
  29. P2 0:31Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller
  30. P2 1:59Shot by McCann, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 2:24Shot by Soderberg, saved by Miller
  32. P2 3:29Tanguay: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cracknell, Bartkowski, Tanev, Etem, Baertschi · COL Tanguay, Skille, Holden, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  33. P2 4:14Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller5v4
  34. P2 5:00Shot by Soderberg, saved by Miller5v4
  35. P2 5:29Shot by Horvat, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 6:06Shot by Cracknell, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 6:14Dorsett: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cracknell, Dorsett, Sbisa, Tanev, Etem · COL Tanguay, Bodnarchuk, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  38. P2 7:26Shot by Iginla, saved by Miller4v5
  39. P2 7:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller4v5
  40. P2 8:20Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Miller
  41. P2 9:22Shot by Horvat, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 10:15Shot by Hansen, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 11:04Shot by Iginla, saved by Miller
  44. P2 12:08Shot by Cracknell, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 12:17Shot by Dorsett, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 12:53Shot by Skille, saved by Miller
  47. P2 13:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  48. P2 14:58Shot by Iginla, saved by Miller
  49. P2 15:06Shot by Bigras, saved by Miller
  50. P2 15:14Shot by Mitchell, saved by Miller
  51. P2 16:24Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  52. P2 16:36Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 17:07Shot by Virtanen, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 18:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller
  55. P2 19:06Varlamov: Delaying game illegal play by goalie (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Hansen, Bartkowski · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  56. P2 19:54Shot by Sedin, saved by Varlamov5v4
  57. P2 19:55Goal by Vrbata (Sedin, Hutton)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vrbata, Baertschi, Hutton · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 2:11Shot by Comeau, saved by Miller
  61. P3 2:40Shot by Tanguay, saved by Miller
  62. P3 2:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  63. P3 4:28Shot by Etem, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 7:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Miller
  65. P3 8:30Shot by Virtanen, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 9:09Goal by Hansen (Sedin, Sedin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Biega, Hutton · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Wagner

  67. P3 9:23Shot by Landeskog, saved by Miller
  68. P3 10:54Shot by Duchene, saved by Miller5v6
  69. P3 11:37Goal by Tanev (Sedin, Sedin)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Tanev, Hutton · COL Tanguay, Soderberg, Holden, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  70. P3 12:15Shot by Biega, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 12:22Shot by McCann, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 13:20Shot by Soderberg, saved by Miller
  73. P3 13:34Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  74. P3 14:20Shot by McCann, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 15:08Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 16:25Shot by Tanguay, saved by Miller
  77. P3 18:57Shot by Horvat, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 19:14Shot by Duchene, saved by Miller
  79. P3 19:18Goal by Duchene (Iginla, Grigorenko)0 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Bartkowski, Etem, Baertschi, McCann · COL Iginla, Bodnarchuk, Duchene, Grigorenko, Bigras

  80. P3 19:56Shot by Horvat, saved by Varlamov
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final