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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 23, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Nashville Predators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 57% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Grabner, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 5:11Holland: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Winnik, Gardiner, Holland, Corrado · NSH Fisher, Jackman, Bitetto, Salomaki, Arvidsson

  4. P1 5:18Shot by Grabner, saved by Hutton4v5
  5. P1 5:24Shot by Grabner, saved by Hutton4v5
  6. P1 5:46Goal by Forsberg (Ribeiro, Josi)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Clune, Froese, Marincin, Rielly · NSH Ribeiro, Wilson, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  7. P1 7:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 7:32Shot by Wilson, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 11:39Shot by Jackman, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 11:49Shot by Arcobello, saved by Hutton
  11. P1 12:29Shot by Johansen, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 12:36Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 12:47Shot by Arcobello, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 13:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 14:44Bitetto: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Clune, Gardiner, Froese, Corrado, Leivo · NSH Jackman, Gaustad, Watson, Bitetto, Salomaki

  16. P1 16:52Shot by Greening, saved by Hutton
  17. P1 17:29Shot by Marincin, saved by Hutton
  18. P1 19:16Shot by Parenteau, saved by Hutton
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimer
  22. P2 1:41Shot by Leipsic, saved by Hutton
  23. P2 3:18Shot by Bitetto, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 3:40Goal by Forsberg (Smith)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Gardiner, Arcobello, Corrado · NSH Ribeiro, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  25. P2 5:36Shot by Josi, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 5:36Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 5:36Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Ellis)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Gardiner, Arcobello, Corrado · NSH Ribeiro, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Forsberg

  28. P2 6:17Gaustad: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Clune, Froese, Leivo, Percy, Loov · NSH Gaustad, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Salomaki

  29. P2 6:47Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Reimer5v4
  30. P2 7:58Shot by Arcobello, saved by Hutton5v4
  31. P2 8:36Shot by Rielly, saved by Hutton
  32. P2 12:36Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 14:09Shot by Winnik, saved by Hutton
  34. P2 15:16Shot by Leivo, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 15:58Leivo: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Leipsic · NSH Ribeiro, Wilson, Ekholm, Granberg, Arvidsson

  36. P2 16:20Shot by Wilson, saved by Reimer4v5
  37. P2 16:22Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimer4v5
  38. P2 18:18Shot by Josi, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 18:48Shot by Percy, saved by Hutton
  40. P2 19:45Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hutton
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P2 4:08Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Reimer
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:31Josi: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Leipsic · NSH Ribeiro, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Forsberg

  45. P3 2:04Shot by Leivo, saved by Hutton5v4
  46. P3 2:23Goal by Leivo (Kadri, Holland)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Holland, Leivo, Leipsic · NSH Jackman, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  47. P3 4:32Shot by Arcobello, saved by Hutton
  48. P3 5:45Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 6:32Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Reimer
  50. P3 7:15Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 7:26Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton
  52. P3 7:59Shot by Arcobello, saved by Hutton
  53. P3 8:22Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  54. P3 9:34Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 10:03Watson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Greening, Froese, Corrado, Rielly · NSH Gaustad, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Salomaki

  56. P3 11:13Shot by Ekholm, saved by Reimer5v4
  57. P3 11:27Shot by Boyes, saved by Hutton5v4
  58. P3 12:25Shot by Ekholm, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 15:23Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 16:26Shot by Marincin, saved by Hutton
  61. P3 16:47Shot by Jackman, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 17:25Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hutton
  63. P3 17:34Shot by Holland, saved by Hutton6v5
  64. P3 17:37Goal by Rielly (Holland, Kadri)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Kadri, Holland, Leivo, Rielly · NSH Fisher, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final