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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 23, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Nashville Predators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 57% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Neal–Jarnkrok–JohansenRibeiro–Smith–ForsbergFisher–Wilson–ArvidssonGaustad–Watson–SalomakiNeal–Wilson–JohansenJosi–EllisEkholm–GranbergJackman–BitettoEllis–EkholmJackman–Josi
Grabner–Kadri–Leipsic3:360.16–0.043:340.01–0.120:500.03–0.003:540.05–0.043:390.15–0.101:110.02–0.02
Parenteau–Greening–Arcobello0:480.00–0.104:540.13–0.730:340.02–0.002:450.04–0.751:580.02–0.061:360.10–0.010:380.03–0.00
Boyes–Winnik–Holland2:020.14–0.004:340.03–0.152:030.07–0.002:490.00–0.081:490.09–0.07
Clune–Froese–Leivo4:000.01–0.020:540.00–0.001:110.01–0.002:100.00–0.020:400.00–0.00
Parenteau–Holland–Leivo0:480.00–0.001:210.01–0.030:510.03–0.000:510.00–0.001:360.01–0.021:510.01–0.031:030.02–0.00
Boyes–Winnik–Arcobello1:430.05–0.100:400.12–0.001:580.16–0.05
Marincin–Rielly5:130.24–0.154:290.01–0.130:420.14–0.001:110.02–0.005:490.06–0.173:150.18–0.143:400.20–0.010:370.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Gardiner–Corrado3:340.14–0.033:530.03–0.732:230.01–0.001:120.03–0.004:030.09–0.684:500.03–0.062:340.09–0.01
Percy–Loov3:110.01–0.153:280.02–0.023:020.02–0.001:080.00–0.082:300.00–0.10
Gardiner–Percy0:490.00–0.000:510.00–0.020:400.00–0.030:410.00–0.002:010.00–0.031:040.00–0.020:370.03–0.00
Corrado–Loov1:080.01–0.001:040.02–0.000:530.00–0.001:040.01–0.000:400.02–0.02
Gardiner–Rielly0:430.01–0.000:370.03–0.00
Marincin–Percy0:380.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndParenteau FArcobello FGreening FGrabner FKadri FLeipsic FBoyes FHolland FWinnik FClune FLeivo FFroese FCorrado DGardiner DRielly DMarincin DPercy DLoov DReimer GForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FNeal FJarnkrok FJohansen FFisher FArvidsson FWilson FSalomaki FGaustad FWatson FEllis DJosi DGranberg DEkholm DBitetto DJackman DHutton G
TORNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan EllisNSH2726:010:583:1225
Morgan RiellyTOR2925:470:531:5332
Roman JosiNSH2825:210:543:1244
Jake GardinerTOR3024:550:501:5333
Mattias EkholmNSH2220:590:571:4520
PA ParenteauTOR2320:110:531:4244
Nazem KadriTOR2619:550:461:5342
Peter HollandTOR2219:390:541:1662
Martin MarincinTOR2419:300:491:2811
Petter GranbergNSH2017:490:531:4510
Filip ForsbergNSH2617:450:411:1965
Brendan LeipsicTOR2517:390:421:2032
Josh LeivoTOR2117:350:501:4721
Calle JarnkrokNSH2417:320:441:1647
Frank CorradoTOR2417:120:432:0413
Mark ArcobelloTOR2316:300:431:2444
Mike FisherNSH2215:570:441:0824
Colin GreeningTOR2015:350:471:3743
Miikka SalomakiNSH2315:300:401:2102
Ryan JohansenNSH1715:220:541:1830
James NealNSH1715:150:541:2130
Barret JackmanNSH1915:050:481:4312
Brad BoyesTOR1814:160:481:1661
Stuart PercyTOR2114:000:401:2251
Mike RibeiroNSH1813:420:461:2650
Colin WilsonNSH1813:240:451:1823
Daniel WinnikTOR1813:210:451:2440
Anthony BitettoNSH1713:090:461:4310
Paul GaustadNSH2013:010:391:2102
Craig SmithNSH1712:270:441:1350
Austin WatsonNSH2012:260:371:1302
Michael GrabnerTOR2112:150:351:2013
Viktor ArvidssonNSH1411:230:491:1313
Viktor LoovTOR1611:060:421:0441
Byron FroeseTOR1710:460:381:2611
Rich CluneTOR148:560:381:2510