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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 24, 2016·Verizon Center, Washington

Montréal Canadiens 4, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Montréal Canadiens

4

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 54% of the time.

WSH winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Condon
  3. P1 1:19Shot by Orlov, saved by Condon
  4. P1 1:23Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Condon
  5. P1 1:50Shot by Eller, saved by Holtby
  6. P1 2:15Shot by Wilson, saved by Condon
  7. P1 5:17Wilson: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Richards, Carlson, Wilson, Schmidt · MTL Markov, Mitchell, Pateryn, Smith-Pelly, Andrighetto

  8. P1 6:57Shot by Eller, saved by Holtby4v5
  9. P1 7:48Shot by Pateryn, saved by Holtby
  10. P1 8:01Shot by Laich, saved by Condon
  11. P1 8:04Shot by Mitchell, saved by Holtby
  12. P1 8:20Shot by Galiev, saved by Condon
  13. P1 9:08Shot by Weise, saved by Holtby
  14. P1 9:09Goal by Galchenyuk (Weise)+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Williams, Ovechkin, Orlov, Kuznetsov · MTL Bartley, Eller, Weise, Barberio, Galchenyuk

  15. P1 13:22Shot by Pateryn, saved by Holtby
  16. P1 13:27Shot by Pateryn, saved by Holtby
  17. P1 14:01Shot by Mitchell, saved by Holtby
  18. P1 14:22Shot by Chimera, saved by Condon
  19. P1 15:35Shot by Oshie, saved by Condon
  20. P1 16:45Shot by Carlson, saved by Condon
  21. P1 17:17Wilson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Richards, Niskanen, Alzner, Wilson · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  22. P1 17:46Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Holtby4v5
  23. P1 17:47Goal by Gallagher (Pacioretty, Markov)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Williams, Richards, Niskanen, Alzner · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  24. P1 18:09Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Holtby
  25. P1 18:20Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Holtby
  26. P1 18:25Shot by Emelin, saved by Holtby
  27. P1 19:23Shot by Galiev, saved by Condon
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:34Shot by Subban, saved by Holtby
  31. P2 0:39Shot by Eller, saved by Holtby
  32. P2 1:53Shot by Barberio, saved by Holtby
  33. P2 1:54Goal by Fleischmann (Byron, Barberio)+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Orpik, Johansson, Orlov, Galiev · MTL Fleischmann, Bartley, Byron, Barberio, de la Rose

  34. P2 2:19Subban: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Laich, Richards, Carlson, Galiev, Schmidt · MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Andrighetto

  35. P2 3:07Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Condon5v4
  36. P2 4:35Shot by Galiev, saved by Condon
  37. P2 5:24Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Condon
  38. P2 5:30Shot by Orpik, saved by Condon
  39. P2 5:32Goal by Chimera (Johansson, Orpik)+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Orpik, Carlson, Johansson, Galiev · MTL Emelin, Eller, Weise, Pateryn, Galchenyuk

  40. P2 6:07Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 6:16Backstrom: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson · MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Andrighetto

  42. P2 6:25Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Grubauer4v5
  43. P2 8:53Shot by Schmidt, saved by Condon
  44. P2 9:41Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Condon
  45. P2 10:11Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Condon
  46. P2 10:53Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Grubauer
  47. P2 11:49Shot by Oshie, saved by Condon
  48. P2 12:12Orpik: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Gallagher

  49. P2 12:12Shot by Gallagher, saved by Grubauerother
  50. P2 12:18Shot by Williams, saved by Condon
  51. P2 12:36Goal by Galchenyuk (Eller, Markov)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Williams, Niskanen, Alzner, Kuznetsov, Burakovsky · MTL Markov, Subban, Eller, Weise, Galchenyuk

  52. P2 15:19Shot by Chimera, saved by Condon
  53. P2 15:18Shot by Richards, saved by Condon
  54. P2 15:39Eller: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Richards, Niskanen, Alzner, Galiev · MTL Emelin, Eller, Weise, Pateryn, Galchenyuk

  55. P2 16:41Shot by Johansson, saved by Condon5v4
  56. P2 16:44Shot by Oshie, saved by Condon5v4
  57. P2 18:02Shot by Williams, saved by Condon
  58. P2 18:32Niskanen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Laich, Richards, Niskanen, Orlov, Galiev · MTL Plekanec, Bartley, Barberio, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  59. P2 18:32Galchenyuk: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Laich, Richards, Niskanen, Orlov, Galiev · MTL Plekanec, Bartley, Barberio, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  60. P2 19:33Shot by Emelin, saved by Grubauer4v4
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 1:11Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Condon
  64. P3 2:21Shot by Galiev, saved by Condon
  65. P3 3:30Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Grubauer
  66. P3 5:08Shot by Johansson, saved by Condon
  67. P3 6:39Shot by de la Rose, saved by Grubauer
  68. P3 7:33Shot by Barberio, saved by Grubauer
  69. P3 9:01Shot by Oshie, saved by Condon
  70. P3 9:12Shot by Subban, saved by Grubauer
  71. P3 9:42Shot by Plekanec, saved by Grubauer
  72. P3 10:56Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Grubauer
  73. P3 12:01Shot by Subban, saved by Grubauer
  74. P3 12:24Goal by Orlov (Orpik, Ovechkin)+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Williams, Ovechkin, Orlov, Kuznetsov · MTL Markov, Subban, Pacioretty, Eller, Gallagher

  75. P3 14:05Mitchell: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner · MTL Markov, Mitchell, Subban, Smith-Pelly, Andrighetto

  76. P3 14:55Shot by Carlson, saved by Condon5v4
  77. P3 15:56Shot by Williams, saved by Condon5v4
  78. P3 16:56Shot by Gallagher, saved by Grubauer
  79. P3 17:07Goal by Burakovsky (Galiev, Schmidt)+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Carlson, Galiev, Schmidt, Burakovsky · MTL Markov, Subban, Eller, Weise, Galchenyuk

  80. P3 17:47Shot by Eller, saved by Grubauer
  81. P3 17:51Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Grubauer
  82. P3 18:23Shot by Oshie, saved by Condon
  83. P3 19:21Shot by Johansson, saved by Condon6v5
  84. P3 19:57Shot by Backstrom, saved by Condon6v5
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final