Wed, Feb 24, 2016·Verizon Center, Washington
Montréal Canadiens 4, Washington Capitals 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
10%
45%
WSH winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 26:43 | 0.02 | 60.3% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:05 | 0.11 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:29 | 0.04 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.06 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.17 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.17 | 42.7% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:31 | 0.68 | 58.7% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 14:41 | 0.39 | 51.4% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.10 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 36.4% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.04 | 54.7% | +20.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13:31 | 0.60 | 58.2% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.11 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.16 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.19 | 37.7% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:29 | 0.03 | 78.8% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:08 | 0.18 | 64.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.82 | −0.2 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 26:28 | 0.06 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.18 | 37.5% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.10 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:37 | 0.03 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:57 | 0.46 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:42 | 0.45 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.11 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.02 | 47.1% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.03 | 33.2% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.13 | 52.6% | +7.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.06 | 47.9% | +2.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:29 | 0.38 | 54.5% | +7.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:30 | 0.30 | 54.3% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11:24 | 0.15 | 57.1% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.22 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.07 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:23 | 0.05 | 87.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 16 | 15 | 1 | .938 | 1.48 | +0.5 | 36:30 | |
| – | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.56 | −1.4 | 21:54 |