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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 25, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:34Shot by Liles, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 2:56Shot by Grabner, saved by Ward
  4. P1 2:56Staal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Leipsic · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nestrasil, Nordstrom, Slavin

  5. P1 3:36Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward5v4
  6. P1 3:40Shot by Parenteau, saved by Ward5v4
  7. P1 6:12Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 3:41Shot by Greening, saved by Ward5v4
  9. P1 7:04Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 7:12Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 7:26Shot by Winnik, saved by Ward
  12. P1 7:55Shot by Leivo, saved by Ward
  13. P1 8:46Shot by Arcobello, saved by Ward6v5
  14. P1 8:53Liles: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Gardiner, Arcobello, Leivo, Rielly · CAR Liles, Staal, Nestrasil, Nordstrom, Pesce

  15. P1 10:09Shot by Greening, saved by Ward5v4
  16. P1 10:10Shot by Greening, saved by Ward5v4
  17. P1 10:12Goal by Boyes (Greening, Rielly)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Greening, Arcobello, Rielly · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nordstrom, Slavin

  18. P1 10:55Shot by Winnik, saved by Ward
  19. P1 12:23Shot by Greening, saved by Ward
  20. P1 13:36Shot by Winnik, saved by Ward
  21. P1 14:32Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward
  22. P1 15:29Shot by Nestrasil, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 16:01Goal by Liles (Staal)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Clune, Gardiner, Holland, Percy · CAR Liles, Staal, Versteeg, Di Giuseppe, Pesce

  24. P1 17:31Shot by Arcobello, saved by Ward
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:04Clune: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Clune, Gardiner, Holland, Percy · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nestrasil, Nordstrom, Slavin

  28. P2 2:40Shot by Hanifin, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 3:09Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 3:22Shot by Slavin, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 3:56Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 4:06Shot by Liles, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 4:26Shot by Corrado, saved by Ward
  34. P2 5:33Goal by Leivo (Parenteau, Loov)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Arcobello, Corrado, Leivo, Loov · CAR Terry, Nash, Jordan, Rask, Hanifin

  35. P2 6:15Shot by Holland, saved by Ward
  36. P2 10:56Shot by Slavin, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 11:04Shot by Slavin, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 11:21Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 12:09Leivo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Arcobello, Leivo, Percy · CAR Liles, Skinner, Rask, Lindholm, Hanifin

  40. P2 13:11Shot by Holland, saved by Ward4v5
  41. P2 14:02Shot by Hanifin, saved by Bernier4v5
  42. P2 16:40Shot by Winnik, saved by Ward
  43. P2 18:09Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 18:59Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Kadri, Holland, Marincin, Rielly · CAR Liles, Staal, Versteeg, Di Giuseppe, Pesce

  45. P2 19:22Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 19:47Parenteau: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Gardiner, Arcobello, Rielly · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nash, Slavin, Lindholm

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:14Shot by Hainsey, saved by Bernier4v4
  50. P3 1:55Shot by Froese, saved by Ward
  51. P3 4:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier
  52. P3 5:20Skinner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Arcobello, Corrado, Leivo, Loov · CAR Staal, Versteeg, Jordan, Di Giuseppe, Hanifin

  53. P3 5:20Parenteau: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Arcobello, Corrado, Leivo, Loov · CAR Staal, Versteeg, Jordan, Di Giuseppe, Hanifin

  54. P3 5:55Shot by Gardiner, saved by Ward4v4
  55. P3 7:19Shot by Jordan, saved by Bernier4v4
  56. P3 9:23Shot by Holland, saved by Ward
  57. P3 9:22Shot by Winnik, saved by Ward
  58. P3 10:17Shot by Rask, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 11:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Ward
  60. P3 11:32Shot by Holland, saved by Ward
  61. P3 11:42Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 11:43Winnik: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Winnik, Greening, Gardiner, Holland, Percy · CAR Staal, Versteeg, Jordan, Di Giuseppe, Slavin

  63. P3 12:39Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier4v5
  64. P3 12:38Shot by Lindholm, saved by Bernier4v5
  65. P3 13:24Shot by Liles, saved by Bernier4v5
  66. P3 13:29Shot by Nash, saved by Bernier4v5
  67. P3 13:58Shot by Parenteau, saved by Ward
  68. P3 14:35Shot by Gardiner, saved by Ward
  69. P3 15:59Goal by Parenteau (Kadri, Gardiner)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Grabner, Gardiner, Kadri, Corrado · CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Lindholm, Hanifin

  70. P3 16:31Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 17:10Rask: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Leipsic · CAR Staal, Staal, Skinner, Rask, Slavin, Lindholm

  72. P3 17:48Shot by Lindholm, saved by Bernier5v4
  73. P3 19:00Staal: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly · CAR Liles, Staal, Staal, Nordstrom, Hanifin

  74. P3 19:00Kadri: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly · CAR Liles, Staal, Staal, Nordstrom, Hanifin

  75. P3 19:10Shot by Liles, saved by Bernier
  76. P3 19:28Shot by Versteeg, saved by Bernier5v6
  77. P3 19:44Shot by Nash, saved by Bernier5v6
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final