Thu, Feb 25, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
69%
17%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:46 | 0.06 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:35 | 0.12 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.25 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:55 | 0.35 | 59.0% | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:12 | 0.15 | 52.3% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.05 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.36 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.13 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.04 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.08 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.04 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:09 | 0.22 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.26 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.01 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.04 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.18 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.23 | +0.2 | 57:45 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28:48 | 0.03 | 50.5% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:13 | 0.01 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:14 | 0.08 | 28.9% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.29 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:43 | 0.29 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:12 | 0.22 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.72 | 47.5% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.02 | 89.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.24 | 55.3% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:10 | 0.56 | 65.8% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:06 | 0.04 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.04 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:21 | 0.95 | 72.6% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:36 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:11 | 0.42 | 48.6% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.00 | 94.0% | +21.5 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.34 | +1.3 | 59:33 |