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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 27, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Montréal Canadiens

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 62% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Markov, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 0:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  4. P1 2:18Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 4:43Shot by Holland, saved by Condon
  6. P1 5:27Shot by Leipsic, saved by Condon
  7. P1 5:29Goal by Hunwick (Leipsic, Boyes)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Byron, Pateryn, Danault, de la Rose · TOR Boyes, Hunwick, Froese, Rielly, Leipsic

  8. P1 6:56Shot by Bartley, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 7:01Goal by Galchenyuk (Andrighetto, Eller)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Bartley, Eller, Barberio, Galchenyuk, Andrighetto · TOR Hunwick, Greening, Komarov, Holland, Rielly

  10. P1 11:03Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 13:44Shot by McCarron, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 15:02Shot by de la Rose, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 18:17Pacioretty: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Bartley, Eller, Barberio, Gallagher, Galchenyuk · TOR Boyes, Hunwick, Komarov, Holland, Rielly, Leipsic

  14. P1 18:22Shot by Holland, saved by Condon4v5
  15. P1 19:02Shot by Boyes, saved by Condon4v5
  16. P1 19:07Shot by Gardiner, saved by Condon4v5
  17. P1 19:12Shot by Boyes, saved by Condon4v5
  18. P1 19:41Shot by Eller, saved by Bernier4v5
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:17Shot by Hunwick, saved by Condon
  22. P2 2:01Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bernier
  23. P2 2:02Winnik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Bartley, Eller, Barberio, Gallagher, Galchenyuk · TOR Winnik, Greening, Gardiner, Marincin, Arcobello

  24. P2 2:48Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bernier5v4
  25. P2 3:16Shot by Komarov, saved by Condon5v4
  26. P2 3:55Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bernier5v4
  27. P2 4:06Shot by Barberio, saved by Bernier
  28. P2 4:19Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 4:27Shot by Rielly, saved by Condon
  30. P2 5:45Shot by Pateryn, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 5:53Shot by McCarron, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 5:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  33. P2 7:02Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 7:36Shot by Winnik, saved by Condon
  35. P2 8:20Shot by Komarov, saved by Condon
  36. P2 9:25Shot by Boyes, saved by Condon
  37. P2 10:38Shot by McCarron, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 10:39Goal by Smith-Pelly (McCarron, Emelin)+23 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Mitchell, Pateryn, Smith-Pelly, McCarron · TOR Boyes, Arcobello, Corrado, Leivo, Percy

  39. P2 11:12Shot by Marincin, saved by Condon
  40. P2 11:22Shot by McCarron, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 11:33Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 11:50Shot by Holland, saved by Condon
  43. P2 11:57Shot by Eller, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 12:11Shot by Komarov, saved by Condon
  45. P2 12:29Leipsic: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Pateryn, Gallagher, Danault, de la Rose · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Marincin, Leipsic

  46. P2 13:16Shot by Eller, saved by Bernier5v4
  47. P2 13:57Shot by Marincin, saved by Condon5v4
  48. P2 14:41Shot by Danault, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 15:22Shot by Boyes, saved by Condon
  50. P2 15:32Shot by Byron, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 16:03Shot by Eller, saved by Bernier6v5
  52. P2 16:04Gardiner: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Bartley, Byron, Eller, Barberio, Danault, de la Rose · TOR Boyes, Gardiner, Marincin, Arcobello, Leivo

  53. P2 16:51Shot by Komarov, saved by Condon5v4
  54. P2 18:28Shot by McCarron, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 19:15Shot by Grabner, saved by Condon
  56. P2 19:31Shot by Bartley, saved by Bernier
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 1:33Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 2:22Subban: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Mitchell, Pateryn, Smith-Pelly, McCarron · TOR Winnik, Grabner, Holland, Corrado, Percy

  61. P3 3:42Shot by Rielly, saved by Condon4v5
  62. P3 3:56Shot by Leipsic, saved by Condon4v5
  63. P3 4:05Shot by Leipsic, saved by Condon4v5
  64. P3 6:23Goal by Pacioretty (Markov, Subban)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Leipsic

  65. P3 8:07Goal by Pacioretty (Pateryn, Plekanec)+3 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Gallagher · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Marincin, Leipsic

  66. P3 8:24Shot by Hunwick, saved by Condon
  67. P3 8:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Condon
  68. P3 10:26Shot by Holland, saved by Condon
  69. P3 10:42Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 11:19Shot by Leivo, saved by Condon
  71. P3 12:19Shot by Marincin, saved by Condon
  72. P3 12:41Shot by de la Rose, saved by Bernier
  73. P3 13:13Shot by Marincin, saved by Condon
  74. P3 14:08Shot by Grabner, saved by Condon
  75. P3 16:14Marincin: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Markov, Subban, Danault, Galchenyuk, Andrighetto, de la Rose · TOR Komarov, Grabner, Gardiner, Kadri, Marincin

  76. P3 17:40Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bernier5v4
  77. P3 17:47Shot by Subban, saved by Bernier5v4
  78. P3 18:48Shot by Pateryn, saved by Bernier
  79. P3 19:00Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Bernier
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final