Sat, Feb 27, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 62% of the time.
54%
8%
9%
29%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:15 | 0.05 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:31 | 0.29 | 60.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:30 | 0.11 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.08 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 20:32 | 0.46 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.23 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:01 | 0.23 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:17 | 0.29 | 48.0% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.04 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.14 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:48 | 0.67 | 30.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 5.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.02 | 6.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:06 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:36 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 3.42 | −0.6 | 59:36 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:35 | 0.04 | 57.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:36 | 0.02 | 45.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.04 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:18 | 0.71 | 63.2% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.13 | 68.1% | +3.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.07 | 59.7% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 55.8% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.09 | 59.4% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 15:49 | 0.75 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 15:48 | 0.44 | 56.3% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.05 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | 61.3% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.05 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.09 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.24 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 90.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:17 | 0.37 | 90.2% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 10:17 | 0.35 | 92.4% | +23.4 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.61 | +1.6 | 59:21 |