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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 28, 2016·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Boston Bruins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Rask
  3. P1 0:36Shot by Paquette, saved by Rask
  4. P1 0:40Shot by Stralman, saved by Rask
  5. P1 1:47Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 4:49Shot by Morrow, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 6:01Goal by Miller (Kemppainen, Ferraro)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Rinaldo, Ferraro, Miller, Morrow, Kemppainen · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Marchessault

  8. P1 7:37Shot by Spooner, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 8:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Rask
  10. P1 9:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Rask
  11. P1 9:14Shot by Beleskey, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 9:18Shot by Hayes, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 10:02Shot by Boyle, saved by Rask
  14. P1 10:09Shot by Paquette, saved by Rask
  15. P1 10:12Shot by Coburn, saved by Rask
  16. P1 10:49Rinaldo: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Rinaldo, Ferraro, Miller, Morrow, Kemppainen · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette

  17. P1 11:19Goal by Killorn (Stralman, Callahan)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos

  18. P1 11:51Sustr: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Krejci, Krug, Pastrnak · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr

  19. P1 13:26Shot by Morrow, saved by Bishop5v4
  20. P1 13:57Shot by Palat, saved by Rask
  21. P1 14:30Shot by Marchand, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 14:39Goal by Callahan (Killorn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand, Connolly · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman

  23. P1 15:04Shot by Callahan, saved by Rask
  24. P1 15:33Shot by Morrow, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 15:43Shot by Morrow, saved by Bishop
  26. P1 16:11Shot by Callahan, saved by Rask
  27. P1 17:07Shot by Callahan, saved by Rask
  28. P1 17:56Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  29. P1 0:00Brown: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Krejci, McQuaid, Spooner, Krug, Pastrnak · TBL Filppula, Carle, Marchessault, Brown, Sustr

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:50Shot by Spooner, saved by Bishop5v4
  33. P2 1:57Shot by Morrow, saved by Bishop5v4
  34. P2 3:30Shot by Krug, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 4:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Rask
  36. P2 4:44Killorn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Miller · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman

  37. P2 4:49Shot by Krug, saved by Bishop5v4
  38. P2 5:43Shot by Beleskey, saved by Bishop5v4
  39. P2 6:35Shot by Brown, saved by Rask5v4
  40. P2 6:49Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 7:00Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 8:11Bergeron: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand, Connolly, Krug · TBL Carle, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Sustr

  43. P2 8:18Goal by Callahan (Stamkos, Stralman)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Ferraro, Miller, Kemppainen · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos

  44. P2 8:29Palat: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Miller · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  45. P2 8:29Chara: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BOS Chara, Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Miller · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  46. P2 9:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Rask4v4
  47. P2 9:34Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bishop4v4
  48. P2 10:04Marchand: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)4v4

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Miller, Morrow · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Nesterov, Sustr

  49. P2 10:04Goal by Stamkos, unassistedother+7 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Miller, Morrow · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Nesterov, Sustr

  50. P2 10:50Shot by Hayes, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 10:50Sustr: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS McQuaid, Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Krug · TBL Carle, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr

  52. P2 11:06Shot by Callahan, saved by Rask5v4
  53. P2 12:52Shot by Beleskey, saved by Bishop
  54. P2 14:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Rask
  55. P2 17:41Shot by Boyle, saved by Rask
  56. P2 18:17Shot by Sustr, saved by Rask
  57. P2 18:34Shot by Krejci, saved by Bishop
  58. P2 19:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rask
  59. P2 19:38Shot by Killorn, saved by Rask
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:36Shot by Krug, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 3:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Rask
  64. P3 4:23Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 5:43Shot by Kucherov, saved by Rask
  66. P3 6:26Shot by Marchessault, saved by Rask
  67. P3 7:52Killorn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Krejci, Krug, Pastrnak · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman

  68. P3 8:09Shot by Morrow, saved by Bishop5v4
  69. P3 8:14Shot by Beleskey, saved by Bishop5v4
  70. P3 9:49Shot by Krejci, saved by Bishop5v4
  71. P3 9:52Shot by Spooner, saved by Bishop5v4
  72. P3 10:29Shot by McQuaid, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 12:50Shot by Brown, saved by Rask
  74. P3 13:56Shot by Hayes, saved by Bishop
  75. P3 14:32McQuaid: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS McQuaid, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Morrow, Kemppainen · TBL Carle, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr

  76. P3 14:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Rask4v5
  77. P3 16:02Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bishop4v5
  78. P3 18:56Paquette: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Krejci, Morrow, Pastrnak · TBL Filppula, Carle, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  79. P3 19:03Shot by Krug, saved by Bishop5v4
  80. P3 19:29Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bishop5v4
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final