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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 28, 2016·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Boston Bruins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Callahan–Killorn–StamkosJohnson–Palat–KucherovFilppula–Brown–PaquetteBoyle–Namestnikov–MarchessaultFilppula–Boyle–BrownCarle–SustrStralman–NesterovCoburn–HedmanStralman–HedmanCoburn–Nesterov
Beleskey–Hayes–Spooner0:450.00–0.034:110.17–0.062:560.03–0.230:390.00–0.010:450.00–0.003:310.10–0.022:560.01–0.071:050.00–0.002:310.10–0.300:560.00–0.01
Eriksson–Krejci–Pastrnak1:550.02–0.003:410.06–0.242:350.04–0.000:380.03–0.003:340.09–0.011:040.00–0.031:490.00–0.041:190.00–0.151:560.04–0.00
Bergeron–Marchand–Connolly4:380.03–0.332:370.01–0.022:310.02–0.122:000.00–0.001:500.00–0.061:200.00–0.19
Rinaldo–Ferraro–Kemppainen1:090.00–0.000:390.00–0.001:150.00–0.183:480.03–0.210:570.01–0.030:590.00–0.001:350.00–0.161:330.01–0.18
Seidenberg–Krug0:460.00–0.002:360.11–0.014:070.02–0.252:120.00–0.193:440.06–0.011:060.00–0.002:530.00–0.202:310.10–0.300:560.00–0.01
Chara–Miller4:060.02–0.041:100.05–0.070:580.00–0.001:020.01–0.000:530.00–0.001:570.08–0.002:080.00–0.033:000.00–0.080:370.00–0.00
McQuaid–Morrow2:150.00–0.040:340.00–0.001:330.00–0.050:510.00–0.032:110.01–0.041:010.00–0.00
Chara–McQuaid3:160.01–0.300:300.02–0.002:330.01–0.122:020.02–0.19
Miller–Morrow0:430.00–0.151:110.00–0.182:080.06–0.000:550.00–0.153:160.08–0.18
McQuaid–Krug1:130.09–0.02
Seidenberg–McQuaid1:080.00–0.020:520.00–0.00
Seidenberg–Miller1:140.03–0.030:330.03–0.000:410.00–0.03
Miller–Krug0:330.00–0.000:320.03–0.000:330.00–0.00
Chara–Morrow0:360.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHayes FBeleskey FSpooner FBergeron FConnolly FMarchand FKrejci FEriksson FPastrnak FFerraro FRinaldo FKemppainen FSeidenberg DKrug DChara DMcQuaid DMorrow DMiller DRask GPaquette FBrown FFilppula FKillorn FCallahan FStamkos FKucherov FJohnson FPalat FBoyle FMarchessault FNamestnikov FStralman DHedman DCarle DSustr DCoburn DNesterov DBishop G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Anton StralmanTBL3123:440:461:2358
Torey KrugBOS2623:180:542:1623
Victor HedmanTBL2723:000:512:0525
David KrejciBOS2321:430:571:4426
Zdeno CharaBOS2821:430:471:3165
Loui ErikssonBOS2221:290:591:4626
Braydon CoburnTBL2521:210:511:4327
Patrice BergeronBOS2420:100:501:4464
Ryan SpoonerBOS2319:200:502:1651
Matt CarleTBL2819:030:411:2134
Kevan MillerBOS2518:240:441:3119
Ryan CallahanTBL2318:120:471:2334
Matt BeleskeyBOS2218:020:491:3040
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2417:420:441:3845
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2417:160:431:2015
Joe MorrowBOS2316:590:441:2152
Steven StamkosTBL2316:460:441:2333
Brad MarchandBOS2316:430:441:5263
Jimmy HayesBOS2216:260:451:1550
JT BrownTBL2115:500:451:2131
Adam McQuaidBOS2115:300:441:0442
Andrej SustrTBL2715:270:341:1502
Nikita NesterovTBL2215:170:421:2365
Ondrej PalatTBL2215:080:411:1622
Alex KillornTBL2114:520:421:2333
Nikita KucherovTBL1914:170:451:1631
Tyler JohnsonTBL1913:420:431:1321
David PastrnakBOS1612:410:481:1903
Cedric PaquetteTBL1812:300:421:2132
Brian BoyleTBL1612:260:471:1526
Brett ConnollyBOS1610:370:401:0823
Joonas KemppainenBOS158:560:360:5625
Jonathan MarchessaultTBL138:560:411:0733
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL118:430:481:2123
Landon FerraroBOS138:370:401:0023
Zac RinaldoBOS117:470:420:5222