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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 2, 2016·Verizon Center, Washington

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

WSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:06Shot by Komarov, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 1:27Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 2:58Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 3:18Orpik: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Richards, Winnik, Niskanen, Beagle · TOR Greening, Kadri, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov

  6. P1 3:59Shot by Beagle, saved by Bernier4v5
  7. P1 5:08Shot by Marincin, saved by Grubauer4v5
  8. P1 5:45Shot by Kadri, saved by Grubauer
  9. P1 7:05Shot by Weber, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 12:12Beagle: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Richards, Winnik, Chorney, Weber, Beagle · TOR Boyes, Grabner, Gardiner, Holland, Corrado

  11. P1 12:56Shot by Komarov, saved by Grubauer4v5
  12. P1 14:32Shot by Beagle, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 15:09Oshie: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Soshnikov

  14. P1 16:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Grubauer4v5
  15. P1 16:40Shot by Kadri, saved by Grubauer4v5
  16. P1 17:50Shot by Greening, saved by Grubauer
  17. P1 18:15Goal by Chorney (Oshie, Kuznetsov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Chorney, Kuznetsov, Burakovsky · TOR Greening, Smith, Kadri, Marincin, Carrick

  18. P1 18:43Goal by Ovechkin (Backstrom, Oshie)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Oshie, Chorney, Backstrom · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Soshnikov

  19. P1 18:57Corrado: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Niskanen, Alzner, Johansson, Wilson · TOR Boyes, Grabner, Gardiner, Holland, Corrado

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:37Goal by Soshnikov (Kadri, Hunwick)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Williams, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Burakovsky · TOR Hunwick, Kadri, Holland, Marincin, Soshnikov

  23. P2 1:44Chimera: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Richards, Chorney, Weber, Wilson · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Corrado, Nylander, Kapanen

  24. P2 2:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Grubauer4v5
  25. P2 3:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Grubauer4v5
  26. P2 3:45Niskanen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Williams, Ovechkin, Niskanen, Kuznetsov · TOR Laich, Gardiner, Nylander, Kapanen, Soshnikov

  27. P2 3:45Soshnikov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Williams, Ovechkin, Niskanen, Kuznetsov · TOR Laich, Gardiner, Nylander, Kapanen, Soshnikov

  28. P2 3:45Soshnikov: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Williams, Ovechkin, Niskanen, Kuznetsov · TOR Laich, Gardiner, Nylander, Kapanen, Soshnikov

  29. P2 4:58Shot by Orlov, saved by Bernier5v4
  30. P2 4:59Shot by Johansson, saved by Bernier5v4
  31. P2 5:48Shot by Oshie, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 7:47Shot by Gardiner, saved by Grubauer
  33. P2 9:12Shot by Marincin, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 10:40Shot by Greening, saved by Grubauer
  35. P2 10:57Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 11:21Shot by Orpik, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 12:07Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Grubauer
  38. P2 13:07Shot by Gardiner, saved by Grubauer
  39. P2 13:44Shot by Kapanen, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 13:58Shot by Hunwick, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 14:52Shot by Alzner, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 16:15Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  43. P2 17:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Grubauer
  44. P2 18:23Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  45. P2 19:29Shot by Oshie, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 0:00Kadri: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Soshnikov

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:19Shot by Holland, saved by Grubauer
  50. P3 3:22Shot by Grabner, saved by Grubauer
  51. P3 4:16Shot by Gardiner, saved by Grubauer
  52. P3 8:16Goal by Greening (Holland, Carrick)+32 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Richards, Chorney, Weber, Wilson · TOR Boyes, Greening, Gardiner, Holland, Carrick

  53. P3 8:55Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 9:20Soshnikov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Soshnikov

  55. P3 9:31Goal by Niskanen (Backstrom, Oshie)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Johansson · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Grabner, Marincin

  56. P3 9:55Shot by Johansson, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 11:29Shot by Weber, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 12:23Shot by Alzner, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 13:22Shot by Williams, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 13:44Shot by Weber, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 14:38Shot by Alzner, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 16:44Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 16:57Shot by Winnik, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 17:42Shot by Backstrom, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 18:32Shot by Komarov, saved by Grubauer5v6
  66. P3 19:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Grubauer5v6
  67. P3 19:54Shot by Kadri, saved by Grubauer5v6
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final