Wed, Mar 2, 2016·Verizon Center, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
11%
42%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:43 | 0.07 | 41.7% | +14.3 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:12 | 0.12 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.08 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.06 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.36 | 22.1% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:41 | 0.14 | 30.1% | +14.3 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.03 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.06 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.18 | 61.2% | +32.1 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 68.4% | +32.1 |
 Brooks LaichC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.04 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.12 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.40 | 23.5% | +14.3 |
 Ben SmithRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:41 | 0.11 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.05 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Frank CorradoD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.02 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
 Colin GreeningC · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:29 | 0.16 | 42.7% | +32.1 |
 Jonathan Bernier#45 | L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.86 | −1.1 | 57:53 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matt NiskanenD · #2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:44 | 0.03 | 63.4% | +25.4 |
 Karl AlznerD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:34 | 0.09 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
 Nicklas BackstromC · #19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.22 | 69.8% | +39.7 |
 Dmitry OrlovD · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.05 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
 Brooks OrpikD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.02 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 Alex OvechkinLW · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.26 | 60.1% | +14.3 |
 T.J. OshieRW · #77 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.18 | 72.1% | +58.8 |
 Taylor ChorneyD · #4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.03 | 54.6% | +19.1 |
 Justin WilliamsRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.17 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovC · #92 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.13 | 70.2% | +19.1 |
 Mike WeberD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:59 | 0.09 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Mike RichardsC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 21.2% | 0.0 |
 Marcus JohanssonLW · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.06 | 74.8% | 0.0 |
 Jay BeagleC · #83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.25 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
 Jason ChimeraLW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.10 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Daniel WinnikLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.05 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Andre BurakovskyLW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.12 | 69.9% | 0.0 |
 Tom WilsonRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
 Philipp Grubauer#31 | W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.01 | 0.0 | 60:00 |