Wed, Mar 2, 2016·Verizon Center, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
11%
42%
WSH winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Komarov–Kadri–Soshnikov | Laich–Greening–Smith | Boyes–Holland–Kapanen | Grabner–Hyman–Nylander | Hyman–Nylander–Kapanen | Boyes–Grabner–Holland | Komarov–Kadri–Hyman | Hunwick–Rielly | Gardiner–Corrado | Marincin–Carrick | Hunwick–Marincin | Gardiner–Rielly | Gardiner–Carrick | Gardiner–Marincin | Rielly–Carrick | Marincin–Corrado | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom | 6:310.25–0.11 | 1:320.04–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 8:100.21–0.22 | 1:200.00–0.02 | 0:520.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Williams–Kuznetsov–Burakovsky | 1:020.04–0.00 | 2:350.06–0.12 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:120.19–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:070.04–0.00 | 3:030.02–0.05 | 1:360.04–0.06 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||
| Richards–Winnik–Beagle | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.09 | 2:190.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.17 | |||||||||
| Chimera–Johansson–Wilson | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:560.10–0.02 | 0:520.03–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.06 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:550.03–0.00 | 2:110.10–0.07 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Chimera–Richards–Wilson | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 0:560.00–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||
| Winnik–Beagle–Johansson | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:330.04–0.00 | 1:130.04–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Niskanen–Alzner | 5:540.38–0.00 | 3:400.24–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.10 | 0:530.00–0.07 | 1:050.00–0.09 | 0:430.09–0.00 | 5:560.36–0.08 | 1:330.24–0.09 | 1:460.00–0.07 | 1:510.05–0.17 | 1:110.09–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||
| Orpik–Orlov | 2:510.00–0.11 | 1:020.06–0.00 | 2:530.03–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:350.19–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 3:420.03–0.18 | 3:040.02–0.03 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.05 | 0:410.05–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | ||||
| Chorney–Weber | 2:420.04–0.03 | 1:490.09–0.02 | 2:410.04–0.09 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 4:450.09–0.13 | 3:210.07–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||
| Weber–Orlov | 0:380.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matt NiskanenWSH | 29 | 24:44 | 0:51 | 2:20 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 27 | 23:43 | 0:53 | 2:21 | 2 | 6 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 28 | 22:12 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 5 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 22:06 | 0:51 | 1:43 | 4 | 5 |
 Karl AlznerWSH | 27 | 21:34 | 0:48 | 2:20 | 3 | 5 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 24 | 21:33 | 0:54 | 2:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 27 | 20:42 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 5 | 6 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 24 | 18:41 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 4 | 5 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 21 | 18:17 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 5 | 2 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 21 | 18:17 | 0:52 | 1:49 | 3 | 2 |
 Brooks OrpikWSH | 24 | 17:56 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 19 | 17:40 | 0:56 | 1:57 | 6 | 1 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 23 | 17:39 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 6 | 2 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 19 | 17:07 | 0:54 | 1:28 | 8 | 0 |
 Taylor ChorneyWSH | 21 | 16:34 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 16:12 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 6 | 0 |
 Justin WilliamsWSH | 18 | 16:06 | 0:54 | 1:31 | 0 | 1 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 20 | 15:36 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 17 | 15:27 | 0:55 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Brad BoyesTOR | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 5 | 2 |
 Mike WeberWSH | 19 | 14:59 | 0:47 | 1:05 | 2 | 0 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 21 | 14:18 | 0:41 | 1:48 | 2 | 0 |
 Brooks LaichTOR | 21 | 14:17 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 4 | 3 |
 Mike RichardsWSH | 18 | 14:11 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 21 | 14:04 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 4 | 0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 21 | 14:02 | 0:40 | 1:49 | 3 | 3 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 17 | 13:55 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Jay BeagleWSH | 19 | 13:52 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 3 | 3 |
 Jason ChimeraWSH | 19 | 13:11 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 0 | 1 |
 Daniel WinnikWSH | 18 | 13:09 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 2 | 3 |
 Andre BurakovskyWSH | 13 | 13:07 | 1:01 | 1:25 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 21 | 12:41 | 0:36 | 1:03 | 0 | 4 |
 Michael GrabnerTOR | 21 | 11:37 | 0:33 | 0:58 | 0 | 4 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 16 | 11:22 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 0 | 2 |
 Frank CorradoTOR | 17 | 11:21 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Colin GreeningTOR | 15 | 10:29 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |